Villain is winning reg and also plays higher. I decided to seat him cause i wasn't getting action elsewhere anw. He's barreled every flop and turn IP so far but I've seen him shutdown on river once w complete air (very little equity even w his bet on turn) . ~70-80th hand of the match and he's raising 90% OTB and cbetting 76%. On river I am thinking he's trying to level me to get me to call so I folded in game. Not rly sure about it tho


I am up one buyin at this point through this hand which should be irrelevant but not entirely:




The actual hand:




edit: I am not 3betting AJs pre cause strangely he has folded 100% to my 3bets

Seems like an easy fold. The board ran out bad and he has a huge value range on this river. Any 4 or 9, diamonds, and 2 pair plus hands.

You probably have close to the bottom of your call, call range, as you might get here with some 2 pairs, some 9s, some 4s and some diamond draws.

I doubt he overbets any kind of 2pair combo on this river, it does however look ALOT like a flush or T9 and he wants to get paid off big by a straight since you have a decent amount of 9x in ur range (A9, T9, 89, 99)

if you are not 3b this then it is a must check raise on the flop and im fine with just getting the money in.

but yeah when you get to the river like this then its a trivial fold. the board runs out pretty good for your range and hes still overbetting. should send alarm bells if this guy has a clue at all

I didn't c/r because he barrels IP so often, if the board runs down better i have an ez calldown and i can get to see with what hands he is barreling with

so what is the bottom of your calling range otr vs this guy? 2 pair? straight? Based on the QJ hand where he check-called turn it makes me think either has a flush or air here. His range looks extremely polarized to me, basically what Kris suggested

Pretty clear fold on the river, hes never overbetting with anything you have beat on this board. But on the flop i woud defo c/r because its kinda drawheavy with the option for a flush draw and a straight draw so i woud be really happy to get it in on the flop. And even if u jsut take the pot i woud be happy because i dont get into tough turn / river decissions.

the problem is not to get it in on the flop or just taking down the pot, it is what you do when u get called and his draws hit. Now i can fold otr. If i had c/r otf he could have played perfectly by just calling w draw w implied since he is gonna get my stack when he hits but when he doesn't he can just fold.

If i have better info on what he is calling, what he is 3betting a c/r w etc. i d be happy to c/r flop.

yeah i guess thats a good reason not to check raise flop

just variance then that the board ran out like this but u def cant call imo

As played pre, I prefer C/R on this flop drawy.

Turn, no problem.

River, it's a snap fold IMO. It's not a good card for second barrel and river, all draws hit. Further, overbetting OTR w/ AIR is rarely in NL50.

That is LOL bad for described villain

What ?

villain is described as a barrel happy reg, In which case he will continue to barrel on a ton of board run outs, If we check raise flop, we fold out all his air(most likely), and keep in hands that have us crushed, or draw hands that have solid equity against us.

IMO, it's not a good board for just C/C. I know this player likes barrels but I prefer C/R OTF.

On this spot, value+protection >>> bluff induce.

If the flop was different, I would just C/C and keep all his range and let bluff him.

meh I guess I can see where you are coming from, so ill agree to disagree.

What is your plan if he clicks it back? If he smooths and we get turn or any 7,8,6,J, brick.

What size are you looking to make the c/r?

p.s I hope these questions dont look as if they are trying to pick flaws in your line, I'm just interested in your thought process/other routes from my plan.

I disagree. There's plenty of hands we get value from that call a c/r on this flop.