While I'm trying to make it work, one hand bothers me. It's against a fish, my image is clean, villain is kinda standard, weak lose-passive, so far proved that he can't even basic hand read 9but then he surprised me big time) trying to be stationy on flop/turn, but reluctant to pay off OTR. I want to understand his real reason for why he tanked, and then called off river, did he really hand-readed me that well or it was his "i don't give a !@#$, i call and see":
Grabbed by
Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $4(BB) Replayer
($106)
Hero ($542)
Dealt to Hero K
J
Hero raises to $12, calls $8
FLOP ($24) 2
7
8
bets $16, Hero calls $16
TURN ($56) 2
7
8
A
checks, Hero bets $18, calls $18
RIVER ($92) 2
7
8
A
T
checks, Hero bets $66, calls $60.15 (AI)
Hero shows K
J
(Pre 61%, Flop 23.7%, Turn 13.6%)
shows 7
Q
(Pre 39%, Flop 76.3%, Turn 86.4%)
wins $211
1/3 bet OTT IP is my standardish mix up, because it works well within my gameplan, also in this hand I wanted to strongarm myself as trapping with strong hand/inducing image and to setup river bluff shove.
***
Can't make SECT work, here's the graph from cooler hunter, which shows that ALL-IN EV shows less then 1/3 of the real bad run picture. i'm up $20k on this graph PS lifetime all limits, had to be up $52k:
And in big blinds I'm up 206 buy-ins, but had to be up 430 buy-ins, so basically 224 buy-ins below known EV:
Last edited by PureDiesel; 01-14-2012 at 01:05 AM.