Quote:
Originally Posted by MrIncognito
Hello y'all. Quick question from a non-poker player who has recently taken interest in the game. After a few days spent perusing these forums, it seems that virtually everyone has an overwhelmingly negative outlook on the possibility of a new player ever becoming profitable. So, humor me.
Assuming I start poker playing heads up at 20NL, and play/study 40 (maybe a good amount more) hours per week, is it possible to give even a ballpark estimate of how long it would take to become profitable at each stake? For example, how long to go from scratch to winning at 20NL, 50NL, 100NL, 200NL?
Has even a single person in the last few years started playing and became a big winner?
Thanks for taking the time to read/respond to my questions.
Edit: I read through WiltonTilt's Roadblocks to learning poker ebook, going through poker math that matters now, and I am also reading Wil Tipton's Expert HUNL, planning to get volume 2 when it comes out.
its really tough to say. im sure there are new players that have and will become successful, just the bar keeps getting raised for what it takes to get there. if you work really hard at it and are smart about game selection, tilt control, bankroll mgmt, how you study, i dont see why you couldnt move up. i mean no offense to any1 playing lower out there but i dont think theres a single player playing 200nl and lower than i dont have at the very least a 12bb/100 edge on (and that would be the absolute best 200nl reg if so). So my point is theres plenty of room to learn and edges to be had, and those games are def crushable. you also need to take advantage of rakeback because rake is tough to beat the lower you go. and while you're learning and getting the hang of things dont bother playing "regs" there, grow your roll until you get to 100nl or 200nl.
if you have a great work ethic and you're a natural talent, assuming you have no prior HUNL experience and limited poker experience in general:
20NL: 3mo
100nl: 5mo
200nl: 7mo
400nl: 1yr
1k: 2yrs
2k+: 2yrs+ if possible for that person.