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Old 06-14-2012, 01:49 PM   #1
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AA turn tough decision

villain stats: 3b 57% f3b 6% fcb 40% and af 4.4 235 hands (totally maniac)

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: $72.09
Hero (BB): $53.64

SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A A

SB raises to $1.00, Hero raises to $3.00, SB calls $2.00

Flop: ($6.00, 2 players) K 2 6
Hero bets $5.00, SB calls $5.00

Turn: ($16.00, 2 players) T
Hero bets $10.00, SB raises to $46.00, hero WTF???
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Old 06-14-2012, 02:36 PM   #2
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Re: AA turn tough decision

Call. Only hand he can really do this with is KT. I just dont see value hands that beat you played this way on this board
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Old 06-14-2012, 03:11 PM   #3
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Re: AA turn tough decision

i called but i knew im not enough. i dont think he plays the same way with QcJc Kx and other draws. he shipped only with 2 pairs+, so if you know this do you call?
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Old 06-14-2012, 03:35 PM   #4
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Re: AA turn tough decision

yeah im not folding
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Old 06-14-2012, 03:59 PM   #5
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Re: AA turn tough decision

snapping
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Old 06-14-2012, 04:40 PM   #6
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Re: AA turn tough decision

u already said he is a maniac, how can u even think about folding
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Old 06-14-2012, 06:48 PM   #7
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Re: AA turn tough decision

im sure he had k 10 but its a snap call.
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Old 06-14-2012, 07:53 PM   #8
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Re: AA turn tough decision

i was sure about set or KT but he shown T6o i wasnt surprised but my question was:
do you herofold a hand like this if you 90% sure(he never layed down with draws only shipped strong made hands) u'll suck.
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Old 06-14-2012, 09:20 PM   #9
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Itd be extraordinarily terrible to fold
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Old 06-15-2012, 12:00 PM   #10
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Re: AA turn tough decision

Think you guys get to stuck on the AA and the "maniac" stamp on villain. His a maniac preflopp, postflopp he only cb 40% which is "nitty".

With 6% fold to 3B he can have all kinds of two pair on anny flopp.

If Hero have read on Villain only shipping it with two pair+, its an easy fold as you are drawing to 8outs at best (16% EQ , and you need (46-10)/(53.64*2) = 34% EQ)

Without the nitty "stick it in" read, calling is much closer the correct play. But if you pick up a solid read, its pretty useless if you dont apply it to you decisions.
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