Sorry this hand kinda interesting me
Yeah call flop call any turn eval river is defo the most +Ev,
Flop
On the flop we have 55% equity vs (TT+,AJs+,KJs+,QJs,JTs,AJo+,KQo)
69/252 we need 27% to call which we definately have.
If we raise and he jams we will most like be up against a finer range of; (JJ+,AKs,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,KhQh,KhJh,QhJh,JhTh)
which we have 25% vs a standard tag reg.
Not a great spot.
Turn
114+69+69 = 252
Quote:
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hell, he might pot the turn for all we know
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and we still have 38% vs the same range on 4h 2h 2c Ks
so we have the correct pot odds to call a pot bet vs the range previously described, but obv its more likely we're up against a range more like (KK+,AKs,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,A2s,KJs+,AKo,KQo) which we have 17% equity against.
The River
If he hammers the river its most likely to be a polarised range of (KK+,AKs,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,KJs+,QhJh,JhTh,AKo,KQo) which we have 12% against.
So say he bets like 122 ott, pot at river is 496 eff stacks are $352.
If he jams we need 29% to call which we dont have vs his likely range. He needs to bet like $140 for it to be a call... I dont think anyone would ever bet $140 with a missed flush draw though so when he bets $140 we more than like have 0% vs his range. So are we calling the turn when a A/K hits and folding every river?? I guess he can be on some crazy 3barrel with like 35s 56s AQo sometimes too but we dont have enough info to include that into his range right?