$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 2 Players
Hero (BB): $157.25 (314 bb)
Villain (SB): $217.44 (435 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with T
SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $10.50, Hero Calls
Flop: ($20.50) 2
Hero checks, SB bets $13.50, Hero calls
Turn: ($47.50) K
Hero checks, SB bets 30.50, Hero?
We've been playing for a while, but with no prior history. About 400 hands. Both quite aggro, swingy match. He's the one loosing.
He started out playing aggro pre-flop but nitty/exploitable post. But after bleeding through my aggression he has started to adapt, with a lot more light c-raises etc. In general his weakness seems to be bad assessing my ranges when I'm betting and making many incorrect calls & folds. When he's betting he has a balanced, tricky range.
He has started to 4-bet much more now that we are very deep. When we were below 150bb he never did it. He has a very polarized 4-betting range: JJ+; AKo; maybe AQs for value, and hands like 87s as bluffs. I never expect him to have 44 or AT in that spot.
I've 5-bet 2 times. First time I had 97s, he shoved, I snap folded. Second time I had AA, he peeled, I got one street of value on the flop and he folded on turn barrel. I thought this was a terrible hand/stack size to 5-bet, but that I couldn't fold against his range, easy call.
Flop I think he's c-betting with all of his air, his monsters: AK; AA; KK. It's hard to say but imo he's sometimes c-betting his FD and sometimes checking them back. Note that he can almost never have a NFD. I think he's checking back his QQ type hands 99%. When he bets c-raising makes no sense, but folding is still too weak. Thoughts?
Turn is tricky because we haven't played many 4-bet pots. He does keep barreling - sometimes - when he 3-bets. I'm not sure that he wants to fire large amounts anymore with AA now. I don't know if he sees that as a good card to continue bluffing either, but probably not. Second K improved my hand but I'm completely crushed by his value-range, and probably need to check-call a big bet if i call this turn.