Quote:
Originally Posted by DREAMS_DONT_DIE
Doesn't checking behind miss out a ton of value we obtain from villain's overpairs
It's hard to have an overpair. I'd expect overpairs to comprise a minority of villain's range after checking the turn here. Checking behind may miss a bet against overpairs if villain chooses to check/call the river instead of bet/calling with them. If you know that villain has an overpair and will check-call two streets with it if you bet twice but only check-call the river if you check behind, then obviously you should bet the turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by DREAMS_DONT_DIE
I don't think he is bluffing river that often assuming a narrow 3 bet range pre so checking behind turn wouldn't extract value from keeping villain's bluffs in?
If villain bluffs the river with any frequency >0, checking the turn makes more money against these hands than betting would (unless he would check/call or check/raise the turn with hands that'd need to bluff the river to win if we checked behind on the turn).