Quote:
Originally Posted by Jonaspublius
OK, lets look at the corporations and interests involved.
Show me where Powerball or Moneyball wants to allow internet poker? Show me where lottery vendors want this competition? A lot of those stores thrive on low margin lotto sales and you threaten that volume, you think they will lay down? Maybe if you offer them a near total monopoly, and who wants that?
Show me a horse agriculture lobby or trade group that thinks racing wants a new competitor? Unless you can find even more revenue to add to their purses from out of poker rake on top of the taxes? Whats in it for them besides less gambling dollars and less people attending races or OTB parlours?
Maybe, maybe we've passed the days where the OTB operators aren't trying to shut us down, but it hasn't passed down the line to the ranchers, the jockeys, breeders, trainers, and the rest of the chain that allowing internet poker is anything but a net loss to them.
What indian casino wants their state to participate in a poker playing pool they cant monopolize? Its a lot more Morongo than Kanahawke. What small casino with a local license wants to compete with online casinos? Other than Harrah's and MGM, how much of the industry is behind an expansion into a market with mature, capitalized competitors? Has the AGA changed from neutral while I slept?
Hell, we havent even gotten to the backwoods, hick FOF legislators who would vote no regardless.
How many state legislative leaders or governors have even hinted they would like to allow internet poker?
If you allow the states the discretion to easily opt-out, they will. Hell, we do NOT even have a champion in Congress to pass a bill, and you want the bill to be a gutless hamstringing of poker. Do you not get the concept of a poison-pill opt out? As it stands, internet poker is clearly a Federal area of law enforcement IF the Feds deem it to be. Just lay out conditions that would make it very hard for a state to opt out. You're a lawyer, and the PPA has lawyers, there are ways to attach requirements to banning residents from playing that would cost a state other gambling revenue. Simply require a state that wants to ban its residents from playing poker to also exclude players from horsebetting or lottery pools that cross state lines as well. A simple vote or governor's decision will lose and lose and lose.
Lets get this straight, you think 1 small pool of states with legal poker won't shut us down FASTER than the current unregulated market? Theres no way a legal site can take illegal players in that scenario, and no way they won't raise hell for more enforcement. You are willing to trade what we have now for a legal market in five states that assrapes everyone in the other 45, and provides money and backing for real enforcement? They day that network goes live, the USDA in each of those states will have money and clamor to bring us down.
If the Feds don't "impose" poker on the states who will? As it stands now, the states can't do much at all, so why give them that power? WHY? Is it really imposing poker to just say poker is in no way a federal crime, and regulating poker on the internet is a federal responsibility? Especially, if you offer places like Utah where any gambling is illegal a way to stay out, but tell states that profit from interstate gambling they can't have a blanket monopoly, and here, have some of the money, but don't try to **** with it.
Jonas:
Some very good points - several of which even I had not thought of.
For those who think passing this and getting internet poker "legalized" is a good idea - even at the cost of having some states opt out - there's another factor to consider. Depending on what states, and how many, opt out; there's a real possibility online players living in states that opt in could wind up playing in a smaller player pool with less traffic. Think about it. One poster on here has pointed out that if California alone opts out, that would equal the effect of ten other states opting out. A number of replies in this thread have indicated that Massachusetts and Texas are strong possibilities for opting out - both states with substantial pools of online players. If those three states alone opt out, for those who remain, kiss a lot of your traffic goodbye.
Now I suppose some on here will say, "Well who cares if little bitty rinky-dink Alabama and Tennessee opt out? Those states are no big deal anyway since there aren't that many online poker players living in those states, so we can go ahead and toss them overboard." It's very easy to be sanguine about state opt-outs when your live in a poker-friendly state like Florida, but I wonder how gung-ho Skall would be about this if he lived in Birmingham or Montgomery rather than Clearwater? It's very easy to be all for state opt outs when you live in a state that's very unlikely to opt out.
For the PPA to tell its members who live in (likely) opt out states to go ahead and support this legislation anyway, is kind of like somebody handing you a gun and telling you to go ahead and blow your brains out.
Former DJ