Quote:
Originally Posted by Skallagrim
As far as interstate compacts go, California will undoubtedly be the toughest nut to crack. The basic reason for this is obvious: no one doubts that a California-only market would still be very lucrative. To that extent CA would feel itself bargaining from a position of strength and would naturally seek a lot of concessions before opening its market to outside interests.
Except that, legally, it is very likely that there are Constitutional restrictions on just how protectionist CA laws can be in this area. While some would argue that because gambling/poker is traditionally a state interest online gambling/poker should also be a state interest, I think the inherent interstate nature of the internet will trump that tradition.
Under the prevailing "Dormant Commerce Clause" jurisprudence of the US SCT, a commercial activity that is otherwise legal under state law cannot be denied to out-of-state companies simply because they are out-of-state entities. While significant in-state regulation does not by itself disqualify a law, it is subjected to heightened scrutiny if it discriminates against out of state businesses in some way. There are limitations, as was shown recently by the case that said NY could not prohibit out-of-state wineries to ship wine if NY allowed in-state wineries to do it.
While it is difficult to say just how much, this legal principle does weaken CA's position to go it alone to some degree.
Interesting times, eh?
Skallagrim
This is a valid point, but even in the cases where the DCCD argument prevailed (direct shipment of wine), it took up to eight years to resolve, and the resolution prompted some States to ban all direct wine shipment to avoid discrimination, others to severely limit the amount of wine per customer.
In that case, the court ruled that the States "provide little evidence for their claim that purchasing wine over the Internet by minors is a problem. The States now permitting direct shipments report no such problem, and the States can minimize any risk with less restrictive steps, such as requiring an adult signature on delivery."
Obviously minors gambling online truly is a problem, the means to resolve that problem require regulation, and requiring the transactions to occur entirely within the State is both a reasonable step and one endorsed by Congress under the UIGEA.
Moreover, the EU commerce rules are essentially equivalent to the US DCC non-discrimination doctrine, and countries such as Italy which have completely ring-fenced their play, but allow anyone to apply for a license so long as the meet the same requirements as Italian companies, have been ruled lawful regulatory schemes rather than economic discrimination.
Where the EU has ruled laws discriminatory is when they take the lottery approach blocking all but the government from offering interactive gaming, making the intention of the scheme clearly economic rather than consumer protection.
But the US differentiates in that area from the EU because of Federal lottery law, though written prior to interactive gaming, Federal lottery laws were specifically designed to protect States from competition from other States in the area of gambling, which much like the MFA for the business of insurance effectively grants States the right to monopolize gambling so long as the revenue is for government rather than commercial gain.
Cliffs:
1) A DCCD challenge in CA could take years and be unlikely to achieve a desired result even if it prevailed.
2) A DCCD challenge would be unlikely to prevail in CA so long as outside operators have an opportunity to apply for software licensing.
3) A DCCD challenge might not even be successful against lottery monopoly States like Delaware.