Originally Posted by Iamcloud
I liked the flat otf because we can reduce variance in these spots vs these villains given how the board runs out. We are getting money in anyways by raising turn. Also we let the guy behind to possible put money in.
I dont think thats a good reason to flat flop when you have the nuts...in any case, nearly all of his aces will probably call a large raise in addition to any 2 pair maybe not middle pair with a gutshot given that hes passive/nitty..to him the board pairing or turning/rivering 10 or Q would be a scare card so i think you're better off trying to get as much money in as soon as possible, your turn raise could have been bigger.
Not sure I am folding the river tbh, other than a slowplayed set it would seem unlikely that he wouldnt shove 2 pair on the turn IMO but obviously you had picked up some tells/play patterns..i suppose the bottom of his range is ax in any case, its close but im probably calling