Originally Posted by Vovochka84
Is it normal? Dont care anymore about the number of buyins, but dynamics sucks
Wow, this definetely looks abnormal. I've been studying this question for some time and even ended up writing a program that calculates pure "luck factor" from hand histories.
The idea is simple. Suppose you are in a coin-flip situation, and win, then you get +1 luck point, if you loose, you get -1 point.
Then suppose you lost the pot after all-in where you had 75% equity, that will evaluate to -2 luck points. And so on.
When you sum up these numbers over many hands, you get your "total luck". It can go way above or way below zero even with a completely honest RNG, but then you can calculate the probability with which an honest RNG will lead to your total luck being what it is.
For me this probability was about 18%, which is totally reasonable, so I don't have any reasons to complain (eventhough I'm running worse than other 82% of hypothetical players).
I'm actually thinking if this "luck factor" can be added as a custom stat to PokerTracker.
Another, even simpler thing to look at, is just compare two numbers - your average equity when you go all-in, and percentage of the time you win the pot afterwards. Over the large enough sample these two should pretty much be equal and not differ more than 1%. Even 2% difference would be a severe statistical abnormality.