HH from memory.

6handed

CO $330 (Whale)
BTN $400 (Villain)
SB $400 (Hero)

Not much info on villain who is playing 25/20, but we have some recent history on this table where I 3bet his btn open on SB with J9hh earlier, cbet A86hh and turned a flush, checked to villain who checked back and I overbetjammed an offsuit ten otr (he called pretty quickly with AK no heart).

Haven't seen him getting out of line yet, but he has position on the whale and isolates his CO limps a fair bit. I decided to get involved with 89

UTG folds, MP folds, CO limps $4, BTN isolates $16, Hero coldcalls $14, BB folds, CO calls $12

Flop $52 TJQ

Hero leads $39, CO folds, BTN calls $39

Turn $130 5

Hero bets $97, BTN calls $97

River $324 T

Hero checks, BTN jams $248, Hero folds..?


I was a bit annoyed, because with the whale having folded I assumed he would raise almost all AK combos otf (and sets at least some %).
What about x/raising turn, and what bluffs or worse valuehands are we hoping to see as played?

I don't think I can fold just bc this is the top of your range. He can be flatting flop and turn w straight draws and club draws right?

I think it's wp and super easy river fold.


(Id check turn but whatever.)

Not super thrilled with the fold. First of.. there's some hands he may be value owning himself with.. like A 10 or 910. Then.. the fact that the board is super draw heavy.. I feel like if he had 2 pair/set or even ak on turn he would be likely to shove. Then throw in the 5000 draws that missed and I think this is a call.

I thought about AT and T9 too, but I'm not so sure people call two very strong donks with those (since neither can be clubs).

I'd probably fold river if he isn't the type to get out of line. I don't see him value betting worse

i c/c.

people make all kind of dumb **** against donkleads.

Just fold, wtf, 1 mio combos, i dont even see any bluffing hands, really.

Well, first i think you should fold preflop given your position. Second , i don't like donk betting the Flop since is tough to balance multiple ranges.In that river i think if you plan to fold to a Huge bet than u better betting 1/2 of pot and fold if villain raises

Given the whale in the pot, Villan will probably assume you don't have many bluffs otf, esp on that texture. He can even expect you to have AK pre with the whale.

I think Tx is somewhat unlikely and given your range looks like only value i don't think he bluffs river much with cc type hand. Would fold river.

Any Tx is just a bluff catcher because you have a lot of two pairs in your range. Hard to see him value those. Also air is very unlikely here. I assume his is taking this line with a lit of QT / JT, easy fold.

This is if he bluffs all his Kxcc combos and checks back the Axcc combos, and this is assuming he just flats TT JJ TJ QT vs your donks. I didn't include the other AK because I assume he would have raised those besides the AKcc and K9cc combo.

You need about 30% EQ on the river. I think it's a fold, I gave him a pretty wide bluffing range on the river bluffing all Kxcc combos is pretty optimistic, I think a lot of those combos might even raise the flop. I think the lower FD's fold turn. But If you think he raises TT JJ TJ QT type hands sometimes it changes a lot.

25 games 0.019 secs 1,315 games/sec

Board: Tc Jc Qd 5h Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 72.000% 72.00% 00.00% 18 0.00 { JJ-TT, AcKc, Kc9c, Kc8c, Kc7c, Kc6c, Kc5c, Kc4c, Kc3c, Kc2c, QTs, JTs, QTo, JTo }
Hand 1: 28.000% 28.00% 00.00% 7 0.00 { 9d8d }


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