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Old 08-28-2008, 08:44 AM   #76
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

Peronally, waiting for the Asian boom is like relying on winning the lottery as an income/ retirement plan. if you don't have a more solid plan for making money in the near future, you need to make one.
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Old 08-28-2008, 08:44 AM   #77
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

the thing is clarkatroid, while i've been pessimistic for the last month, like you, i think you're off on several points.

1: the fear that regs will outweigh fish 100/1. i don't see it. first of all, there's a large portion of msnl that will only play when fish are around, like me. so those people will drop down to find fish. likewise other people will drop down from those games because they can't beat them etc. some people will stop being pros and go get real work, etc. i don't think the ratio will change from what it is now. some people don't really game-select, they just sit at whatever table, and are content to grind out rakeback against 5 other regs.

2: that people are moving up. wat? people moved up way faster pre-UIGEA. i'm really not worried about ssnl people taking over msnl - aside from a few prodigies, they will invariably be worse than the regs there now.

the future of poker is not bright, but it is not doomed. the first reply to this post had it right on - 18 months ago people thought poker was finished. the games are about as good as they were then. there are always new things to learn. keep your chin up.
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Old 08-28-2008, 08:45 AM   #78
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by clarkatroid View Post
I am not a doom mongerer. Im not predicting the end of online poker, i dont walk around with a sign saying "the end of the world is nigh" etc.

I just see a diminishing opportunity and its time to cease the day and go for it while it lasts. If im wrong, then im very very very very pleased to be wrong. I think some of the younger posters, and i dont mean to be condescending here , do not realise what a glorious opportunity is under their noses, as they have little life knowledge other than sitting inside their house earning tons of money. Therefore some maybe do not respect that they are in a blessed position, thus leading to poor work ethic. My point is, why play 20k hands a month to pull X when you could play 100k hands a month and earn 5X, when in 18 months this opportunity may not be there


Shh don't encourage good players to play more.
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Old 08-28-2008, 08:50 AM   #79
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by SinkRox View Post
First time I've read euro is harder than usa sites. Anyone else have an opinion on this?
i play 80k hands a month on both sites of the ocean. And ill take stars/ftp over ipoker / betfair / eurobet any day of the week(2/4) as its easier for me to dodge the regs and 2p2ers due to timezone differences. Theres also a lot more game selection. Although admittedly stars 5/10 scares me
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Old 08-28-2008, 09:46 AM   #80
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by aditya View Post
i fear this every single day, and promise myself to start grinding a lot, but i never get around to it.

Also, I think that regardless of what market enters, poker's still going to be dead imo. There's just wayyyyy too many decent-good players at ssnl, and regardless of how many fish enter, it's still going to be dead cause there's still too many people that have a clue that are going to take money.

Also, let's get realistic. If chinese people enter the market, if they figure out the game, we'll eventually be screwed anyways cause they're smart as hell.
Meh, while the work ethic of asian culture is pretty much legendary they have a pretty huge disadvantage in that there's probably almost no good poker literature available in chinese/korean/japanese.
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Old 08-28-2008, 09:47 AM   #81
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

Boohoo I can't bazillion table anymore just playing by some numbers and crap and taking money off people who only play for fun and actually have to think about my decisions boohoo
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Old 08-28-2008, 10:18 AM   #82
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by pp262 View Post
Boohoo I can't bazillion table anymore just playing by some numbers and crap and taking money off people who only play for fun and actually have to think about my decisions boohoo
terrific contribution, thankyou for sharing your invaluable insight
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Old 08-28-2008, 10:38 AM   #83
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by clarkatroid View Post
I just see a diminishing opportunity and its time to cease the day and go for it while it lasts. If im wrong, then im very very very very pleased to be wrong. I think some of the younger posters, and i dont mean to be condescending here , do not realise what a glorious opportunity is under their noses, as they have little life knowledge other than sitting inside their house earning tons of money. Therefore some maybe do not respect that they are in a blessed position, thus leading to poor work ethic. My point is, why play 20k hands a month to pull X when you could play 100k hands a month and earn 5X, when in 18 months this opportunity may not be there

You posted about being worried about the games, then this paragraph which is seemingly trying to motivate the whole of 2+2 to play more!


**** off willya!
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Old 08-28-2008, 10:41 AM   #84
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

I only browsed the responses, so don't kill me if I'm stealing someone's point

I think the correct way to look at the change is that there is legitimate competition in poker now. It will no longer be possible to fall out of bed, play 3h and do whatever you want with the rest of your day and still net sizable 5 figure sums. But you know, right now I can't think of any other jobs where you can.

I think the people that treat it like a job and continue to grow as a player and strive to stay in the top 20% of their stakes will always be able to make money, its just no longer a paradise.

I guess the point I'm trying to make is that playing poker is going to become a lot like an ordinary job. So when it no longer has the benefits of making easy $$$, you have to think about if you might be happier doing something else or if you like the flexible hours and the ability to work from home so much that you are willing to invest everything you have into poker to make it work.
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Old 08-28-2008, 10:59 AM   #85
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

i think this everytime i have a horrible run, then i make several hundred k in a few months at 1020/1025 and laugh at myself for being stupid.
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Old 08-28-2008, 11:06 AM   #86
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by eggegg View Post
You posted about being worried about the games, then this paragraph which is seemingly trying to motivate the whole of 2+2 to play more!


**** off willya!
i realise that this OP will achieve nothing positive for me personally and may motivate some of 2p2 to play more, but i figure a lazy bastard is a lazy bastard, and most poker players are lazy bastards.A motivational post on 2p2 will not change this inherant tendency to sloth.
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Old 08-28-2008, 11:25 AM   #87
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

Quote:
Originally Posted by clarkatroid View Post
I am not a doom mongerer. Im not predicting the end of online poker, i dont walk around with a sign saying "the end of the world is nigh" etc.

I just see a diminishing opportunity and its time to cease the day and go for it while it lasts. If im wrong, then im very very very very pleased to be wrong. I think some of the younger posters, and i dont mean to be condescending here , do not realise what a glorious opportunity is under their noses, as they have little life knowledge other than sitting inside their house earning tons of money. Therefore some maybe do not respect that they are in a blessed position, thus leading to poor work ethic. My point is, why play 20k hands a month to pull X when you could play 100k hands a month and earn 5X, when in 18 months this opportunity may not be there

i agree with this but at the same time i wish i found poker after college, i think the opprotunity costs for spending all day at your computer everyday when youre 20 years old or "growing up" cant even be measured in dollars
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Old 08-28-2008, 11:26 AM   #88
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

games are way easier now than they were 18 months ago and that's with the economy in the crapper and and retarded legislation still in effect

I think things have the potential to be much brighter

Also, it takes waaaaaaaaaaaay more time and effort for newbies to become winners at 2/4 and especially 5/10 now than it did in the party days i dunno why you think there's gonna be this influx of wiz kids most people still suck bad at poker
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Old 08-28-2008, 12:41 PM   #89
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by Moonshine View Post
games are way easier now than they were 18 months ago and that's with the economy in the crapper and and retarded legislation still in effect
Pokersitescout can attest to this phenomenon. The numbers of concurrent cash game players has risen to nearly pre-legislation levels. 6 months after the legislation, we had 1/3 of the concurrent players than we do now (6-8K on stars/ftp then, 20K+ now). So even with the stupid UIGEA, it has been steadily getting better instead of dying off.
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Old 08-28-2008, 01:20 PM   #90
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Re: MSNL doomswitch-18 months and counting

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Originally Posted by fsuplayer View Post
i think this everytime i have a horrible run, then i make several hundred k in a few months at 1020/1025 and laugh at myself for being stupid.
So true, game quality is better than the winter after neteller went down. .
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