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100NL AQo Squeeze 100NL AQo Squeeze

09-05-2015 , 12:35 AM
so i dont usually 3bet this but given all the cold calls i decided to go for it. vill here is a bad reg (if even a reg).

fold to cbet in 3bp: 28
fold to 3b: 56
cold call from MP: 14(28)

is turn shove bad?


Pacific $1000.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2775454
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $1025.17 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 22, 3B: 12, AF: 1.6, Hands: 2836
MP: $2915.50 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3.6, Hands: 1575
CO: $1240.49 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 19, 3B: 4, AF: 2.4, Hands: 2793
BTN: $1781.00 - VPIP: 49, PFR: 28, 3B: 10, AF: 1.9, Hands: 1008
Hero (SB): $1224.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 21, 3B: 9, AF: 3.8, Hands: 565330
BB: $1015.00 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 2.1, Hands: 1844

Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is SB with A Q
1 fold, MP raises to $30, CO calls $30, BTN calls $30, Hero raises to $160, 2 folds, CO calls $130, 1 fold

Flop: ($390.00) 3 7 J (2 players)
Hero bets $215.00, CO calls $215

Turn: ($820.00) K (2 players)
Hero bets $849.00, CO calls $849

River: ($2518.00) 5 (2 players)
09-05-2015 , 08:37 AM
i know it sounds nitty, but i check-fold Flop vs. this type of villain. don't mind a c-bet though.

As played, barreling turn is mandatory imo.

So nh for me.
09-05-2015 , 03:55 PM
I like our 3Bet squeeze here sizing seems fine.

On the flop I'm leading ≈$260 and trying to represent the top of our range like QQ+ .

I don't think a turn shove here really does too much for us. Seeing as you bet $849 into $820 I feel like you did almost the same thing. This card hits our range really well so we have to barrel another street but not overbet.

We should leave ourselves some money if we opt to 3-Barrel Ship on the river.
09-07-2015 , 09:53 AM
Any turn stats from v?
09-07-2015 , 04:09 PM
would bet like 300 on turn
09-16-2015 , 04:50 PM
I also agree that Turn should be smaller I like 370ish
09-16-2015 , 05:23 PM
I felt like if I bet small on the turn (~1/3) vill would be peeling again pretty wide, then I'd be left with a very small jam otr which he prob wouldn't fold to
09-17-2015 , 12:57 AM
Flop bet seems too big to me.
09-17-2015 , 11:23 AM
bet 1/3 otf, if he calls , check/decide turn, if he's bad he's probably not folding to whatever sizing you make it any big/small
10-24-2015 , 08:10 AM
turn is pretty bad against co
10-24-2015 , 02:52 PM
I had a very similar spot against the same sort of player which I've posted below. I feel we have to squeeze AQ here but playing OOP when we miss the flop against this type of player makes it really hard to play. I dont like giving up because that seems far too weak given we hold the best hand most of the time on the flop however take this route if you want to decrease variance at the cost of increasing your win-rate. I like the turn jam if he's got say the top 9% of his range and isn't folding the flop then folding then only calling the turn with sets, Jx and Kx he will fold 68% which is enough plus we have 15% equity against that range.


Hero (BB): 132.7 BB
UTG: 115.3 BB (VPIP: 30.87, PFR: 23.50, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 541)
MP: 182.3 BB (VPIP: 58.57, PFR: 27.14, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 70)
CO: 184 BB (VPIP: 14.09, PFR: 8.72, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 306)
BTN: 274.3 BB (VPIP: 29.07, PFR: 18.60, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 88)
SB: 123.8 BB (VPIP: 18.36, PFR: 10.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.87, Hands: 542)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A Q

UTG raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 15 BB, fold, MP calls 12 BB

Flop: (33.5 BB, 2 players) J 4 T
Hero bets 15.9 BB, MP calls 15.9 BB

Turn: (65.3 BB, 2 players) J
Hero checks, MP bets 31 BB, Hero calls 31 BB

River: (127.3 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero bets 70.8 BB and is all-in, MP calls 70.8 BB

Hero shows A Q (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 64%, Flop 69%, Turn 77%)
MP shows 9 7 (Two Pair, Jacks and Sevens)
(Pre 36%, Flop 31%, Turn 23%)
MP wins 255.5 BB

2.4 BB was deducted from the pot for the jackpot.

      
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