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Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces

05-13-2017 , 01:54 AM
Not even close to being rolled to 50NL but decided to take a shot because
of the 3 massive fish sitting at the table, which i had notes of..

Decided to nit it up until i could gii in a good spot vs the fishes when this hand happens, and we just get action from the good regular, with 20/17 over the small sample of 360 hands.

All that said is it possible to find a fold on this turn? We're on absolute top of our range and V is repping just the one hand that beats us, 16 combos of JT. He might know we're playing scared money so might make a move, but doubt it so we fold second nuts here? HALP!




PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, €0.50 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com

BB (€158.89)
UTG (€93.02)
Hero (MP) (€50)
CO (€94.85)
Button (€288.97)
SB (€39.26)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
1 fold, Hero raises to €1.50, 1 fold, Button calls €1.50, SB calls €1.25, BB calls €1

Flop: (€6) 8, A, Q (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets €3.02, 2 folds, BB calls €3.02

Turn: (€12.04) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €8, BB raises to €20.25, Hero?
Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote
05-13-2017 , 02:15 AM
It's 23.3% to call and you have 10 outs (21.7%) against JT. There's no way to justify folding here when he can have bluffs in his range and we have implied odds. The hard decision is gonna come from when we miss river though. Are you sure the only value hands he has here is JT? Can he have 88 or some KQ?
Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote
05-13-2017 , 02:28 AM
I actually jammed, is that bad? i know we're folding out his bluffs if he has any there, but wouldnt just calling be awkward leaving 20 left on our stack?
Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote
05-13-2017 , 02:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nestum
I actually jammed, is that bad? i know we're folding out his bluffs if he has any there, but wouldnt just calling be awkward leaving 20 left on our stack?
Wouldn't calling leave you with $25.23? That's about half pot for the river. If his calling range is JT,88, and 1 combo of KQ then shoving should be slightly profitable. Idk if it's more profitable than calling.
Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote
05-13-2017 , 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Renekton
Wouldn't calling leave you with $25.23? That's about half pot for the river. If his calling range is JT,88, and 1 combo of KQ then shoving should be slightly profitable. Idk if it's more profitable than calling.
I dunno i for some reason thought that i would be with a tiny stack if i just called, perhaps because with was my first time playing this stake so wanting to be extra safe i sigh-jammed, almost knowing for sure he would have JT..

cant he have like a diamond draw sometimes that makes the shove a lil bit better?

I had like 90% certainty he would have jt, but how can i fold that? Its almost masochist i know im beat but i have to go with it..

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Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote
05-13-2017 , 03:28 AM
Yeah he can have combo draws like Jd8d,Td8d but I don't know if a 20/17 guy will call with those hands often.
Taking a shot at 50NL with a set of Aces Quote

      
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