Over a group poker-dinner last night my friend Uzi (Bluff Deez Nuts on 2p2) and I reached an agreement for our long discussed propbet for whether or not I will make Supernova Elite for 2013. I am currently behind pace with 571,000 of the 1,000,000 million VPPs needed and the year having just over 2 months left (73 days as of this writing.) My results this year have been unspectacular to say the least.
Our wager is my $7k to pick up his $20K (a line of 2.86-1 in my favor.)
As per the terms of our bet, I am allowed to take additional action from anyone who wants to be against me. As of this writing Uzi is not looking for additional action. Other people ITT are obviously allowed (and encouraged) to bet friendly amounts on either side vs one another at any lines they like.
Some Backstory:
In 2012 I was the biggest winner in $300 Turbos (6max) and $200 Hypers (6max) on PokerStars. That said, I'm down almost 100K pre-rakeback this year. I am currently playing $30, $60 and $100 hypers and $100 and $200 turbos. I play anywhere from 6-20 tables at a time depending on how my brain is feeling, but I would say 85% of the time or more I have between 10-14 going. With my current stakes and tables I'm paying ~$135 in rake per hour.
Some Statistics:
My Screenname on PS is TheDrunkLife and my Sharkscope is unblocked.
428,689 VPPs to go
73 days left in the year
5,872 VPPs/day (avg)
$1067.72 Rake per day (avg)
Current estimate of rake paid per hour ~ $135
7.90 Hours per day every day of the year.
Our terms:
I am allowed to take on additional action. Obviously Uzi is aware that as the amount of action grows so does my incentive to put in hours.
We are both aware that this bet is physically possible; we are rather betting on if I will or will not do this. 8 hours a day of 14-tabling every day for 73 days straight is no joke. I have never done anything like this. Uzi and our mutual friends have watched me try catch up to pace this year while falling further behind. Early lines thrown out were as high as 5-1 against.
By me agreeing to bet, I am saying "I am going to do this." Don't bet against me. This is going to be grueling, but I'm just going to do it. I'm definitely scared, and I don't think I'm a lock by any means, but I wouldn't feel right about offering to take more action without saying that obviously I intend to get my ass down to work for the next 73 days.
All bets to be escrowed, our current bet is being escrowed by a mutual friend (TheGr8Str8.)
At all times, "The Spirit of the Bet" will be upheld. There will be no angle shooting or unethical activity on either of our parts, or anyone else interested in being involved. Uzi and I have tried hard to discuss any potential situations that could arise. Win or lose we are friends before this bet and plan to be friends after. I think he'll be proud of me if I actually win, and I know I'll have no one to blame but myself if I lose.
Any disputes during the course of the bet regarding the wager between Uzi and I will be mediated by our peer group who were present for the various discussions that lead to the bet (Patrick Leonard, Dan Clegg, Konrad Kowal, Alex Levin, Anthony McShane, Shane Wittes.)
Escrows and mediation for action between myself and other members of the 2p2 community or between other members ITT with one another can be handled by any party agreed upon my wagering parties at the time of the bet. I'm new to BBV so I'm not sure what's standard.
I am starting this bet with ~25k to play from. I am allowed to move around in stakes as I deem fit managing this bankroll. In the event that I am near busto I am allowed to seek a stake to play 30-100 hypers and 100-200 tubos (or equivalent games.) These are the stakes the bet was based off of. I am NOT allowed to simply get staked to play higher. If I were to bink and MTT or run super hot, on my own roll or a stake roll, then I would be able to move up.
*I plan to do this on my own roll. It is a goal of mine to never need to be staked again. This provision exists b/c neither of us want to see me homeless in the event the sky falls.*
Bet becomes VOID due to what are agreed upon as "acts of god" under "spirit of the bet." These types of things include but are not limited to: Stars being shut down or access being blocked by local government, Severe Illness to myself or Death/Severe Illness in the intimidate family or of any significant loved one.
The Wrap-up
My friends in the SNG community whom I've talked to have faith in me that I can do this. Most of Uzi and my mutual friends who see me on a regular basis IRL seem to think it's a pretty big sweat. Both Uzi, myself, and our peers think we have reached a fair line.
I will post regular (daily?) updates in this thread. I'm not sure how much I'll torment myself by checking results so it may be more updates on how I'm feeling ect. I may even do a
videoblog on my own blog since that takes no time at all. I will definitely appreciate support and the social aspect of the bet since I will be sacrificing a lot from my social life to try and achieve this.
Finally, I am looking for small friendly wagers on if I can abstain for drinking alcohol until I have either reached Elite or 2013 has ended. Obviously this requires a measure of trust, but I expect much of the following of this thread will be done by people who know me personally. I bought a bottle of Dom Perignon that is sitting next to my monitor until it's time to pop bottles in celebration or to drown sorrows. I'm not some raging alcoholic, but I've never gone literal cold turkey (no drinks at all, even with dinner) for more than 3 weeks since age 17. I've never even tried, after all, my sn is TheDrunkLife
Uzi has
his own propbet thread in which he will attempt to make 20K pre-rakeback at $50PLO & $100PLO in one month. We are hopeful that these bets and others will make our winter grind more exciting and motivate us all to be better.
If anyone is interested in betting against me for either drinking or elite please post offers. Otherwise thanks for reading and I hope people will follow along (and root for me!) Leggggggggggggggggggooooo!!!!!!!
Last edited by OMGBarackObama; 10-19-2013 at 06:36 PM.