Hey guys,

I'd like to bet up to $15k that I (blueson on 2+2, 20080401 on Pokerstars.it) can achieve SNE withhin 3 months starting October 2009 with ~830k VPPs to go.

• ~830k VPPs from October 09 till 31.12.2009
• webcam is ok
• 5 phonecalls each bettor for every month
• 4-1 odds against me
• willing to use an reliable escrow
• i make weekly updates at my blog and here in forum
• def willing to bet up to $15k
• i am allowed to play any sng and tournament on pokerstars.it
• bet is cancelled if sister, my ex-girlfriend, my grandparents or my 2 best friend die
• bet is cancelled if italian goverment suddenly decides to close all pokersites (very unlikly)
• bet is not cancelled if there is a 2x or more VPP promo
• i am allowed to block my username on ss with the begin of the challenge

i already contacted scotty if it is possible to confirm weekly VPP-progress.



Background informations:

Pokerstars.it does not allow tournaments higher than €100. that means the highest VPP/game i can get is 63. (actually sometimes for sunday majors its bigger). Due to the fact that there are not running a lot of €100s, I'll play the €70s and €50s too. (44.10 and 34.65 VPPs each). My plan is to 16-table whenever possible and playing some HUs forenoon. Definitly planing on playing ~12h+ per day.


I'd like to increase my odds, say 6-1 if I make SNE and maintain a 3% ROI, 13-1 for SNE and 5% ROI. In addition I'll be playing donkaments for the yearly TLB (all stakes), my goal is to finish in top3 (stamps) and I'd like run another bet with sth. like me beeing a 15-1 dog.


in addition ive got pretty nice losing stats, if i have figured out how to unblock me at ss, you can look me up.


eager to hear opinins, thoughts and suggestions.

first

did i read 6-1

lol

lmao what

no prop bet should ever go higher than 3-1 odds imo

bad idea

i'd like to wish you the best of luck in all your endeavours. my friend is also going for SNE this year, if he doesnt make it can i come PCA with you? :P

yeah ik 4-1 is high but did you realize im a sng donk? im willing to go down if everybody thinks its too high, but generally i feel 4-1 is good for both parties.

btw. 3/5% ROI is only valid for SNGs, MTTs does not count obv.

So basically all you're going to do is grind out insane VPP and don't have to post a positive ROI%? Sorry dude, doesn't seem like an all too worth while prop bet, especially at the posted odds...

what do you propose? positive roi and 3-1?

I recommend some sort of positive ROI... Anyone can grind out 880K VPP's and lose :P... I wouldn't personally, even with the sick rakeback for SNE, but it is def. doable...

Also, a slightly more useful bit of information for you. Send .03 to the user sharkscope on pokerstars to get your SS graph info's available. Funds are transfered back to you in a few days.

can you post what the actual buyin/rake amounts for the .it sngs are? like buyin+rake?

and how many VPPs are awarded per one euro € tournament fee?

yeah im still blocked at ss atm, but ive already requested unblock. probably willing to bet more than 15k im im just 3-1 and positive roi tho.

im eating KFC atm

€100 = €91+€9 = 63 VPP
€70 = €63.70+€6.30 = 44.10 VPP
€50 = €45.05+€4.95 = 34.65 VPP
€100 HU = €92.80+€7.20 = 50.40 VPP