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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 09-28-2007, 05:09 AM   #16
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffnotes.

i liked the part about killing FGators. Quality post.
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Old 09-28-2007, 05:10 AM   #17
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffnotes.

I had a theory about this once.

OK, now imagine that instead of you being outside the box with the cat, you are the cat. Or rather you are inside a box, with a random particle determining whether you live or die.

Now there's still going to be two universes, one where you live, and one where you don't, but of course, you won't know about the one where you die, so you'll only know about the one where you live.

Therefore, you could carry out this experiment 100 times, and each time, you would survive, or one of you would survive, and that the only one who would know about it.

So to everyone else, you wind up dead, in your own universe, you are alive and have just survived 100 random 50 50 events...


Now if we extend this to live, and assume that the majority of things which could kill us are in some way determined by a random event. So life is like one big shrodingers experiment, and your own self will always survive the random events, because you wont know about the ones that don't... so everyone, in their own universe will survive until there is no possible universe in which they don't die... so everyone really has like 120 years ahead of them...
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Old 09-28-2007, 05:54 AM   #18
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffnotes.

The coinflipping example is used by Warren Buffett in the Preface to the Intelligent Investor to show how that if everyone in America flipped coins everyday after a few years there would be people who won all the time and would be sharing their superior coin flipping strategies, etc. But then he explains how that by analyzing the thought process that goes into doing whatever that leads to results is the more telltale sign of reliability of the results. So I guess that would mean looking at how someone who runs bad plays, as opposed to merely looking at all in EV graphs or sample sizes.
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Old 09-28-2007, 06:16 AM   #19
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffnotes.

Nit objection, but wasn't it originally supposed to be a jar of prussic acid in the box rather than a gun?

Nice post though.
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Old 09-28-2007, 06:39 AM   #20
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffnotes.

Here's the concluding chapter from my recently finished poker strategy book:

'...if you still aren't winning then you haven't killed enough people yet.'
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Old 09-28-2007, 10:31 AM   #21
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Re: Schrödinger\'s Cat & Running Bad (a BBV Dissertation w/ Cliffno

or maybe
"If you are runnign hot, be aware and look at your back because FGators can be somewere around you with a gun triying to kill you"
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