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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 06-30-2010, 04:21 AM   #1
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Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Alright, so posting this in BBV, it stems from this thread: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/58...gs-ftp-779578/



This bet will be done on Full Tilt Poker, and i'll be blogging about it whenever I get the chance on my Cardrunners blog: http://www.cardrunners.com/blog/PrimordialAA


Anyways, terms of the bet are:


My $10,000 vs Skate's $20,000


2,000 games, Starting 6/27/2010, finishing August 15th, 2010


Super Turbos ONLY are counted, stakes $350 + 5, $500 + 6, and $1000 + 11 ONLY


Chops from same time sits (Via FTP chop feature) will be marked via me, w/tourney ID, and discounted from the total, so the first 2000 legitimate games (non-chops) will be counted


I win with a 3.0% ROI or Higher, Skates wins with a 2.99% ROI or lower, 3% ROI is as quoted BEFORE rakeback











Anyways, for those of you who dont know Skates, he is a VERY smart person, quite possibly the smartest person math-wise i've ever met. So for him to offer me 2:1 on this is pretty interesting, I mean im sure he's done all the calculations, but I think I can 100% achieve it, so we're gonna see.


Anyways, this was the 2nd day of bet, but im in Tahoe and then going back to vegas for ME, so will be getting in minimal volume til I can get back home, and then have to push it to finish and keep playing well before my wedding (August 7th). Will keep this thread updated with graphs, results, etc. on a pretty regular basis, every day or two most likely. GL me

Last edited by PrimordialAA; 06-30-2010 at 04:28 AM.
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:28 AM   #2
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

GLGLGL Primordial, if there is one who can achieve it... It could be you!
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:36 AM   #3
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Sick...
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:38 AM   #4
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

is anyone taking any action?
ill bet against obv
edit: im up for 1k
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:44 AM   #5
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

pretty sick glgl
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:46 AM   #6
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Quote:
Originally Posted by idreamofaudrey View Post
is anyone taking any action?
ill bet against obv
edit: im up for 1k
i'll book 1k more on me if you want (my 1k to your 2k or my 500 to your 1k), will need escrow tho
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Old 06-30-2010, 04:48 AM   #7
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

ill bet up to my 10k versus your 20k on primo to win this prop
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:00 AM   #8
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Quote:
Originally Posted by PrimordialAA View Post
i'll book 1k more on me if you want (my 1k to your 2k or my 500 to your 1k), will need escrow tho
i know u are very good man
i need 1.5:1 on my 1k and obv escrow etc
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:20 AM   #9
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Maybe he is assuming that if you are >3% over 1000-1500 games, noone will play you over the last 500-1000 games.

I have no idea how often these games run.
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:32 AM   #10
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

3% ROI? whhhat
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:42 AM   #11
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

Quote:
Originally Posted by PrimordialAA View Post

I win with a 3.0% ROI or Higher, Skates wins with a 2.99% ROI or lower, 3% ROI is as quoted BEFORE rakeback[/B]

So 2.995% is a push?

edit: I think it's fairly obvious you meant anything under 3.0% is a win for Skates, but might as well make it 100% clear.
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:42 AM   #12
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

any relation to pokerman AA
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:44 AM   #13
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

oh and GL
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Old 06-30-2010, 05:51 AM   #14
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

not implying that you would do so, but this would be really easy to cheat at
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Old 06-30-2010, 06:30 AM   #15
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Re: Prop Bet: PrimordialAA - 3% in Full Tilt HU STs for next 2k Games

avg buyin (500*.03)(2000)=30k btw
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