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| Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins. |
01-22-2010, 05:47 AM
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#61
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Europe
Posts: 1,617
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zacharrrr
now this would become interesting if you are only allowed to play 4 hours on a calender day.
as you can see, nobody expressed interest so far. so you need to change your proposition.
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We can say I can only play 124 hours (4*31) or we can put up a maximum amount of hands. I think the last proposition is most relevant..
Anyone have any other propositions? I can agree to change the rules if you want..
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01-22-2010, 06:27 AM
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#62
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newbie
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 20
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by antchev
OK, my thoughts on the bet...200K hands, 18-tabling for 31 days is only 6 hours a day (12-tabling is 9 hours, also totally doable), this is around 3.8BB/100 to achieve the goal. 200K hands at 1/2 PLO is a little over 200K VPPs, which is around $12.5K in FPP value. So, basically, OP is going to grind for his SNE goal, risking virtually nothing, and wanting 4:1 odds, this is way too high, IMO. I'll give 4:1 for $40K, $30K is worth no more than 2:1.
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+1
200 BI sounds interesting, or 2:1 sounds more reasonable for the original bet, the time restrictions sound awkward to police and both that and hand restrictions would kind of ruin your initial reason for making the bet in the first place surely?
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01-22-2010, 06:27 AM
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#63
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: lnternet
Posts: 11,172
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by LOLDONKBETZ
you bet I can't lose 150 buyins in 31 days?
lies
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as if you have anywhere close to 30k
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01-22-2010, 09:18 AM
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#64
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Europe
Posts: 1,617
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrBIond
+1
200 BI sounds interesting, or 2:1 sounds more reasonable for the original bet, the time restrictions sound awkward to police and both that and hand restrictions would kind of ruin your initial reason for making the bet in the first place surely?
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2:1 is to low. Anyone who is playing plo200 on a daily bases knows this is a very hard bet. Just ask mig.
I might go for 3:1 and the minimum wager at $600.
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01-22-2010, 09:34 AM
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#65
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veteran
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Flopping like a sucker
Posts: 2,487
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
I personally don't think I could pull something like that by a long shot. Not at this time of the year anyway, games are terrible really often. And unless you think u are a much better player than me, it's gonna be very hard.
I have a lot of months at 1/2 with about 150k hands. And not one time I have been close to achieve it. Trust me playing 18 tables of 1/2 is far from really profitable since plo is so much more harder/slower than NL to multitable. Dickkemp was imo a decent player when he 8 tabled, and when he rushed for SNE, playing 18-24 tables, he lost like over 30k at plo 1/2 ?
Just my 2 cents...
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01-22-2010, 09:34 AM
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#66
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 1,964
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
is OP a shared 2p2 account? he has a bunch of sng related threads.
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01-22-2010, 09:42 AM
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#67
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banned
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: villain depending
Posts: 1,755
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Good luck! Think u can do it
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01-22-2010, 09:47 AM
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#68
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Europe
Posts: 1,617
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by dude1238
is OP a shared 2p2 account? he has a bunch of sng related threads.
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I play sngs all the time. Played 10k of them since May
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01-22-2010, 09:51 AM
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#69
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Europe
Posts: 1,617
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mig
I personally don't think I could pull something like that by a long shot. Not at this time of the year anyway, games are terrible really often. And unless you think u are a much better player than me, it's gonna be very hard.
I have a lot of months at 1/2 with about 150k hands. And not one time I have been close to achieve it. Trust me playing 18 tables of 1/2 is far from really profitable since plo is so much more harder/slower than NL to multitable. Dickkemp was imo a decent player when he 8 tabled, and when he rushed for SNE, playing 18-24 tables, he lost like over 30k at plo 1/2 ?
Just my 2 cents...
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this. I hope someone will give me action on 3-1. I think its a good deal for you guys. And I def understand that you wont risk so much to win so little, thats why I lower the odds.
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01-22-2010, 10:39 AM
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#70
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: New York City
Posts: 3,243
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Are u going to play a MAX of 125 hours too?
I really like the idea of having a time contraint
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01-22-2010, 10:39 AM
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#71
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newbie
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 20
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Well you say that, but when you have an extra $50k or so to be won, you could easily put in like 250k hands to make it work no matter what you tell us now. Anyway I may still be interested, will see if you actually get any action at all
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01-22-2010, 10:51 AM
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#72
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old hand
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Europe
Posts: 1,617
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poolside
Are u going to play a MAX of 125 hours too?
I really like the idea of having a time contraint
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No. That would be silly..
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrBIond
Well you say that, but when you have an extra $50k or so to be won, you could easily put in like 250k hands to make it work no matter what you tell us now. Anyway I may still be interested, will see if you actually get any action at all
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I better get action. This is not very easy. And I dont have time to play above 200k hands.
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01-22-2010, 10:52 AM
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#73
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veteran
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Flopping like a sucker
Posts: 2,487
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poolside
I really like the idea of having a time contraint
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Time contraint = 31 days ? 744 hours...
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01-22-2010, 10:56 AM
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#74
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banned
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 165
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
Quote:
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And I dont have time to play above 200k hands.
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surely if you were losing buyins and by doin so even with rakeback you were goin to lose money on the bet you would make time ? ie after 14days say your 50 buy ins down , would you not free up the rest of the 12 weeks to win the bet ??
and i agree with mig the time constraint is 31 days no other restraint should be there.
and also you dont need to say your not goin to play much as even if you had all the time in the world this would still be a very hard thing to manage to do.
Good luck to you and i hope you get the action you want if i had a spare 1k i would be against you but unfortunatly i dont
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01-22-2010, 10:57 AM
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#75
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old hand
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,538
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Re: PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days
I'll give action at 2.5:1
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