Open Side Menu Go to the Top
FAQ Today's Posts Search Twitter Discord
Register
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row....
Post Reply Subscribe
...
Page 1 of 2
First
Page 1 of 2
Go to page:
Go
1 2
Last
Go to page:
Go
Page 1 of 2
First
Page 1 of 2
Go to page:
Go
1 2
Last
Go to page:
Go
03-25-2015 , 11:22 PM
#1
Dion
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Dion Find Threads By Dion
journeyman
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 294
Ok guys, can someone calculate the odds of getting 3 outed w AA twice in a row? Cheers!
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-25-2015 , 11:38 PM
#2
javi
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By javi Find Threads By javi
Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,233
100% obviously
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-25-2015 , 11:46 PM
#3
owster's Avatar
owster
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By owster Find Threads By owster
old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,430
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
Ok guys, can someone calculate the odds of getting 3 outed w AA twice in a row? Cheers!
What would be the point? It would be like calculating how long time it would take to crawl to the moon. It is nothing that could ever happen in real life so why bother.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 01:18 AM
#4
Dion
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Dion Find Threads By Dion
journeyman
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 294
The point is similar to the point of knowing the odds of getting dealt pocket AA. Did I complain about a bad beat or sth lol? If you don't know how to calculate just don't reply.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 01:52 AM
#5
IlikeChicken
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By IlikeChicken Find Threads By IlikeChicken
centurion
Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 158
Your question is too vague.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 02:06 AM
#6
owster's Avatar
owster
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By owster Find Threads By owster
old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,430
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
The point is similar to the point of knowing the odds of getting dealt pocket AA. Did I complain about a bad beat or sth lol? If you don't know how to calculate just don't reply.
Weird, I ran the OP through a translator and this is what came out:

"Hai Guyz! Can someone calculate the odds of getting 3 outed w AA twice in a row? I'm certainly not implying this has happened to me or anything, but knowing the odds would help me avoid some bad beats. I don't really care if anyone knows this might or might not have happened to me lately, but I had to make a forum post since I can't calculate probabilities and my google is the broke."

Just admit it was a whine post, if not you should have posted in Poker Theory or simply google'd it, just sayin' .
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 02:15 AM
#7
DonkvFish's Avatar
DonkvFish
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By DonkvFish Find Threads By DonkvFish
adept
Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 938
Hand example of a 3out spot?
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 02:37 AM
#8
owster's Avatar
owster
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By owster Find Threads By owster
old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,430
Sorry for being rude earlier OP, had a bad morning but I've solved the problem for you.

Assuming that we have AA on the turn versus 45 on a board of 4910 J rainbow and one player that has already folded flashed 45 as well the odds of us losing this situation twice in a row on the river is 0.51%. Should be an easy fold on the river when he hits though.

I hope you find the information as useful as I do, GL at the tables.
Last edited by owster; 03-26-2015 at 02:51 AM.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 02:48 AM
#9
Morphismus's Avatar
Morphismus
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Morphismus Find Threads By Morphismus
BBV Poker Player of 2022
Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 24,277
If it's not a run-it-twice situation, it's just the odds of getting 3 outed w AA squared.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 05:20 AM
#10
se7en.de2ce's Avatar
se7en.de2ce
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By se7en.de2ce Find Threads By se7en.de2ce
centurion
Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 164
i think it's bout .350%
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 05:21 AM
#11
ILoveLamp.
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By ILoveLamp. Find Threads By ILoveLamp.
enthusiast
Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 78
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkvFish
Hand example of a 3out spot?
+1!!
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 05:37 AM
#12
Tawbor's Avatar
Tawbor
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Tawbor Find Threads By Tawbor
centurion
Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 190
3 outs x 2 = 6. Simples.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 05:39 AM
#13
SweatOnMySkin's Avatar
SweatOnMySkin
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By SweatOnMySkin Find Threads By SweatOnMySkin
journeyman
Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 253
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkvFish
Hand example of a 3out spot?
AA
AK

25TJ

Outs: QQQ
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 06:31 AM
#14
orb_dam_u's Avatar
orb_dam_u
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By orb_dam_u Find Threads By orb_dam_u
old hand
Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,351
Odds of winning with AA is around 82%. Odds of winning AA twice is 2×82%=164%

So losing AA twice in a row= 1 - 164 = -163%.

That's such a extreme small chance.. it should never happen in real life.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 06:35 AM
#15
The_Worm's Avatar
The_Worm
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By The_Worm Find Threads By The_Worm
grinder
Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 485
How about getting 2 outed 3 times?
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 08:43 AM
#16
vrael111's Avatar
vrael111
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By vrael111 Find Threads By vrael111
veteran
Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 2,955
cliffs:

OP is probably 9 years old cuz he has problems with basic math
OP got 3outed twice in a row and whines like a little b..ch
OP provides incomplete data for calculation
OP whines about BBV not helping out
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 09:33 AM
#17
The_Internet's Avatar
The_Internet
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By The_Internet Find Threads By The_Internet
journeyman
Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 201
why are u getting it all in with 1 pair
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 11:09 AM
#18
ckaine8
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By ckaine8 Find Threads By ckaine8
enthusiast
Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 57
50% - it either happens or it doesn't
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 11:43 AM
#19
Morphismus's Avatar
Morphismus
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Morphismus Find Threads By Morphismus
BBV Poker Player of 2022
Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 24,277
100% - it either happens or it will happen.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 01:32 PM
#20
Clevername69's Avatar
Clevername69
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Clevername69 Find Threads By Clevername69
old hand
Join Date: Feb 2014 Posts: 1,472
50/50 - it either happens doesn't.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 01:38 PM
#21
goobenstein's Avatar
goobenstein
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By goobenstein Find Threads By goobenstein
journeyman
Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 280
0% You could have infinite monkeys dealing infinite hands of NLHE and AA will never be 3 outed twice in a row. And to prove the point, I have been dealt AA in back to back hands maybe 20 times and it's never happened to me. If it hasn't happened in the first 20 times then I just can't see how it ever can.
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 09:29 PM
#22
Dion
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Dion Find Threads By Dion
journeyman
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 294
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkvFish
Hand example of a 3out spot?
I'm only interested AA vs smaller pairs. Its 82:18. Imagine you get dealt AA in a given spot - you get 3 outed, then your next AA get 3 outed again. What are the odds?
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 09:32 PM
#23
Dion
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Dion Find Threads By Dion
journeyman
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 294
Quote:
Originally Posted by orb_dam_u
Odds of winning with AA is around 82%. Odds of winning AA twice is 2×82%=164%

So losing AA twice in a row= 1 - 164 = -163%.

That's such a extreme small chance.. it should never happen in real life.
So that's 1 in how many hands?
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 09:34 PM
#24
Dion
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Dion Find Threads By Dion
journeyman
Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 294
Quote:
Originally Posted by vrael111
cliffs:

OP is probably 9 years old cuz he has problems with basic math
OP got 3outed twice in a row and whines like a little b..ch
OP provides incomplete data for calculation
OP whines about BBV not helping out
Lol, get a life man
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
03-26-2015 , 11:13 PM
#25
owster's Avatar
owster
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By owster Find Threads By owster
old hand
Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,430
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
I'm only interested AA vs smaller pairs. Its 82:18. Imagine you get dealt AA in a given spot - you get 3 outed, then your next AA get 3 outed again. What are the odds?
Hand example of when a smaller pair has three outs against an overpair but still has 17.82% equity plz! What kind of poker variant are we talking here btw?
Odds to get 3 outed twice in a row.... Quote
Page 1 of 2
First
Page 1 of 2
Go to page:
Go
1 2
Last
Go to page:
Go
Post Reply Subscribe
...
Page 1 of 2
First
Page 1 of 2
Go to page:
Go
1 2
Last
Go to page:
Go
      
Feedback is used for internal purposes. LEARN MORE
Contact Us Privacy Statement TOS
Top
Powered by:  Hand2Note
Copyright ©2008-2022, Hand2Note Interactive LTD
m