Quote:
Originally Posted by zippymoose
You : "You are forgetting that everyone not in the pot is likely to not hold an ace, if you really wanna be exact in a 9 handed ring game heads up vs a villain with Ax the chance of an ace peeling on the flop is 82,35683333333333333% (infinite 3s) "
Me: "Even assuming all other hands held no aces at a 9 handed table since you are so sure about that:
3 aces in the deck (one in the villains hand)
Probability of ace = 1- Probability of no ace = 1-(31/34*(30/33)*(29/32)= 1- 0.7514
Probability of an ace on the flop = 0.2486 = 24.86% or 25% AT BEST
Whatever math you were dojng to get to 82% needs to be re-evaluated. I suggest your nearest math help center. "
You are incorrect. That is all, have a good day. And I'm giving you the wikipedia cuz it is the easiest start for someone who knows nothig of math. I have an engineering degree and this math is very basic.
Big fancy degree but you don't understand simple math. Here let me break it down for you
There are two outcomes
1) and ace comes
2) an ace doesn't come
100/2outcomes= 50%
There is an exactly 50% chance that an ace comes and a 50% chance it doesn't come.
I am suprised someone with an engineering degree can't solve a math problem that my dog can figure out.