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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 06-04-2012, 06:37 PM   #31
 
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Hire These Guys
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Old 06-04-2012, 07:17 PM   #32
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Damn, you got to be autistic big time if you cannot find a way to beat lolNLOL200.
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Old 06-04-2012, 07:17 PM   #33
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

You are being cheated, and they are ****ing with you. This kind of thing happened to me in San Antonio in underground rooms in late 2008. I don't go to underground rooms any more LDO.

In 2010-2011, I went to a home game 12 times and lost all 12 times.* Now I just assume they are cheating and I don't go to that home game anymore. Rake free is great, but if they are cheating you it is not so great.

There are ways to cheat that you wouldn't believe, and you have to be on the lookout. The only honest games that you can reasonably count on are casino games where the decks and dealers change constantly, but even then you have to be careful.

Sad.

*If I'm 50/50 to have a winning session, then the probability of this happening naturally is 1 in 2 to the 12th power (4,096). NBL.

Last edited by starrazz; 06-04-2012 at 07:20 PM. Reason: Not Bloody Likely
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Old 06-04-2012, 07:34 PM   #34
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bladesman87 View Post
Standard maths spot.

Probability of making your money back if you quit is 0.

Probability of you going on a heater and winning it back with profit is >0.

Therefore you have to keep gambling.
I like the way you think sir
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Old 06-04-2012, 07:48 PM   #35
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

you realize of course the dealer is gonna be a nice guy if he is cheating you? they want you to keep coming back..

this response is for the 1% chance this isn't a level
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Old 06-04-2012, 07:53 PM   #36
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

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Originally Posted by evildeadalive View Post
you realize of course the dealer is gonna be a nice guy if he is cheating you? they want you to keep coming back..

this response is for the 1% chance this isn't a level
It's not a level. The guy is seriously anguished. And levels are much more rare than you think.
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Old 06-04-2012, 08:04 PM   #37
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bladesman87 View Post
Standard maths spot.

Probability of making your money back if you quit is 0.

Probability of you going on a heater and winning it back with profit is >0.

Therefore you have to keep gambling.
QFMT! If you don't play then you can't win it back and are a guaranteed loser. If you play you can either win, or lose, so it's a 50/50 proposition. The math breaks down like this.

Don't play = -$
Play = 1/2-$+1/2+$

1/2-$1+1/2+$ is a larger expected value than -$.

I know it can be hard to think of things in terms of strict mathematical expectations, but thats what separates the winners from the pretenders.
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Old 06-04-2012, 09:01 PM   #38
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You need to change up your timing to trick the live RNG.

Take exactly thirteen seconds per decision. If not, you're ****ed.

durrrr had his timing down for awhile when he was winning big in the live cash games.

When he says he's "playing poorly" he means that his timing is off. You might find him sitting on the curb outside a casino with the stopwatch on his cell phone saying, "raise" and "I'm all in" to himself. He's not crazy, he's getting ready to beat the live RNG.

Good luck, my friend.
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Old 06-04-2012, 09:04 PM   #39
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

If they catch you every time, don't bluff every time. If they're folding when you bet, check instead?

EDIT (LONG EDIT): What I'm saying (and maybe you take something away from this) No strat in BBV. Don't let it happen again

Good luck.

Last edited by wafflehouse1; 06-04-2012 at 09:32 PM.
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Old 06-04-2012, 09:16 PM   #40
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^^^^^ wtf is this ****?

Take your good advice to B & M imo.
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Old 06-04-2012, 09:29 PM   #41
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

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Originally Posted by integratyper777 View Post
If they catch you every time, don't bluff every time. If they're folding when you bet, check instead?

EDIT (LONG EDIT): What I'm saying (and maybe you take something away from this) blah blah blah <wall of text>

Good luck.

Last edited by wafflehouse1; 06-04-2012 at 09:36 PM.
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Old 06-05-2012, 04:58 PM   #42
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Hint: you're the fish
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:56 PM   #43
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

500th post
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Old 06-05-2012, 11:37 PM   #44
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

Hello guys, sorry for not updating about what happened during my confrontation.
Ive been at the police station until now(4 AM), so im very tired and I will post what happened tomorrow.

Good night
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Old 06-05-2012, 11:49 PM   #45
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Re: Live games are unbeatable

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Originally Posted by JoelBerg View Post
Hello guys, sorry for not updating about what happened during my confrontation. Ive been at the police station until now(4 AM), so im very tired and I will post what happened tomorrow.

Good night
Snitch!
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