Biggest suckout I've ever witnessed - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #25358201

Hero (SB): $26.76 (107 bb)
BB: $11.06 (44.2 bb)
UTG: $5.37 (21.5 bb)
MP: $8.33 (33.3 bb)
CO: $27.16 (108.6 bb)
BTN: $11.75 (47 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9

UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero completes, BB checks

Flop: ($0.75) 7

(3 players)
Hero bets $0.52, BB folds, MP raises to $1.04, Hero raises to $26.51, MP calls $7.04 and is all-in

Turn: ($16.91) 9

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($16.91) 9

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 09:42 PM

Rob_10108

A GIF from God

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 7,510

Quote

03-28-2014 , 09:44 PM

Chloe O'Brian

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 4,593

Well yeah in NLHE that is mathematically the slimmest chance suckout possible... where you have to catch the exact 2 cards you need on turn + river... roughly a 0.1% chance of it happening.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 09:52 PM

patriots

adept

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 1,141

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloe O'Brian

Well yeah in NLHE that is mathematically the slimmest chance suckout possible... where you have to catch the exact 2 cards you need on turn + river... roughly a 0.1% chance of it happening.

online odds of this happening is 3%

Quote

03-28-2014 , 09:55 PM

Pixcat

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 1,364

On the flop KK was 99.80% Favorite.

Last edited by Pixcat; 03-28-2014 at 10:15 PM. Reason: I is tard

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:00 PM

johnstumper

banned

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,450

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:01 PM

TacSkull

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 149

I knew he had a set of kings- thought I could get him off it.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:12 PM

Fin-Omenal

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 395

Loses $40 pot, breaks $400 laptop. Bad bankroll managment.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:14 PM

pocketacescracked

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 244

Come back and post when you need backdoor 2 cards instead of 4. Maybe you should have had QQ instead and backdoored quads.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:16 PM

#10

TacSkull

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 149

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fin-Omenal

Loses $40 pot, breaks $400 laptop. Bad bankroll managment.

You're forgetting the cost of getting the roof repaired.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:17 PM

#11

ZeckoRiver

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 5,590

op a shortstacking scumbag

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:20 PM

#12

MultiTabling

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloe O'Brian

Well yeah in NLHE that is mathematically the slimmest chance suckout possible... where you have to catch the exact 2 cards you need on turn + river... roughly a 0.1% chance of it happening.

This is wrong.

Hero has 4 outs to improve, villain only has 1. Hero is a 4:1 favourite to win the pot.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:26 PM

#13

TacSkull

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 149

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZeckoRiver

op a shortstacking scumbag

Playing short stacked gives me better implied odds because if I flop a monster I can get my whole stack in whereas deepstacked I may only be able to get part of my stack in.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:38 PM

#14

johnstumper

banned

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,450

Quote:

Originally Posted by TacSkull

Playing short stacked gives me better implied odds because if I flop a monster I can get my whole stack in whereas deepstacked I may only be able to get part of my stack in.

[ ] op understands implied odds

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:40 PM

#15

Fin-Omenal

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 395

Quote:

Originally Posted by TacSkull

You're forgetting the cost of getting the roof repaired.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 10:58 PM

#16

TacSkull

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 149

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnstumper

[ ] op understands implied odds

OP wasn't joking- he genuinely thought that's how implied odds work.

Quote

03-28-2014 , 11:16 PM

#17

tehdude

adept

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 1,114

Quote

03-28-2014 , 11:28 PM

#18

fidstar-poker

I'm gonna need a hacksaw

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 32,993

you have obviously never googled 'feltching'

Quote

03-29-2014 , 02:02 AM

#19

TacSkull

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 149

Quote:

Originally Posted by fidstar-poker

you have obviously never googled 'feltching'

I invented it. Also, I believe it's spelt; 'felching'.

Quote

03-29-2014 , 03:30 AM

#20

DrawMeOut

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 2,088

I think this fits here

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r5__...c3YdvQ&index=3

Quote

03-29-2014 , 06:38 AM

#21

Sheep86

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 6,635

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rob_10108

Quote

03-29-2014 , 09:54 AM

#22

johnstumper

banned

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,450

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pixcat

On the flop KK was 99.80% Favorite.

It sure is a good thing you posted this. For a second I thought bottom 2 pair was favorite vs top set. Poker is hard.

Quote

03-29-2014 , 10:19 AM

#23

markodpoker

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,654

ITT: douchebaggery.

Quote

03-29-2014 , 10:31 AM

#24

fidstar-poker

I'm gonna need a hacksaw

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 32,993

Quote:

Originally Posted by markodpoker

ITT: Tushbuggery.

FYP

Quote

03-29-2014 , 10:43 AM

#25

Chloe O'Brian

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 4,593

Oops yeah, he needs two exact cards but could be the two 7s left or the two 9s left, so yeah 0.2% instead of 0.1%.

Quote

Page 1 of 3

First

1 2 3

Last

Post Reply Subscribe

...

Page 1 of 3

First

1 2 3

Last