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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 01-28-2009, 09:53 PM   #1
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Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

So, I've been outed anyway. I'm a dirty shortstacker. Die shortstacker die. I'm prepared for it. Call me whatever you want.

What I'm here to talk about is how I run, because it's driving me to the brink of insanity now. I would never gripe about a single hand or a single day or week or even month. But I'm going on five months here of running like I have the poker plague. I must admit that it's beyond what I thought was possible. Perhaps that makes me charmed for the last several years that I've been playing professionally, but I've never actually interacted with anyone who's had this long a run go this poorly.

I shortstack NL400 (both 6max and FR) and NL200 (both 6max and FR). My average buyin over this period of time is $60. Since September 11, 2008, I have played around 365,000 hands...and just in Net Run (not Sklansky bucks, but sheer All-In Luck), I am running over $19,000.00 (or roughly 317 buyins) behind.

Graphs...

September 11, 2008 - September 30, 2008


October, 2008


November, 2008


December, 2008


January, 2009


Seriously...I want to throw my computer out the window and light my monitors on fire. I think I am literally starting to go insane. With RB in 4.5 months, I've made about 12k instead of about 31k. The RB has basically been my only profit that entire time, as I've only made about 2-grand on the tables in that period of time.

I want to vomit. Post your best long-term horror story if you'd like.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:01 PM   #2
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

karma police arrest this mann
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:03 PM   #3
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

stop ****ing buying in short and learn how to play poker. what do you think is going to happen when you're shoving 30bb stax?
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:03 PM   #4
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

Post the graph of entire combined run plus the probability graph.

also, die shortstacker
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:04 PM   #5
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

Quote:
Originally Posted by downbytheriver View Post
karma police arrest this mann
Arrest me? I'm already getting F'ed in the ass by karma.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:08 PM   #6
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

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Originally Posted by SammyKid11 View Post
Arrest me? I'm already getting F'ed in the ass by karma.
No you're not. You're buyin in short, and playing a **** ton of all in pots, and not running well in them. If you buy in full, you wouldn't be making this post.

LEARN THEM POKERS

100bb stax or gtfo
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:13 PM   #7
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

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Originally Posted by absoludicrous View Post
No you're not. You're buyin in short, and playing a **** ton of all in pots, and not running well in them. If you buy in full, you wouldn't be making this post.

LEARN THEM POKERS

100bb stax or gtfo
Whatever.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:14 PM   #8
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

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Originally Posted by absoludicrous View Post
stop ****ing buying in short and learn how to play poker. what do you think is going to happen when you're shoving 30bb stax?
I think that I'll make about what I'm expected to make eventually...but right now it's not even close to that...so it's a long-term "beat" for me, which is why I posted this in "Beats, Brags, and Variance."
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:19 PM   #9
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

So, I heard shortstackers fold tens to an openraise?
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:21 PM   #10
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

learn to play poker
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:24 PM   #11
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

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Originally Posted by shipit2menow View Post
So, I heard shortstackers fold tens to an openraise?
Yep, every single time.
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:27 PM   #12
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

hey.......... you're due
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:29 PM   #13
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

i kno how you feel but i only shortstack when i am busto trying to get in action but i dont think you are scum..keep grind on the mind i once didnt make a set for a whole month
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:34 PM   #14
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

Quote:
Originally Posted by absoludicrous View Post
No you're not. You're buyin in short, and playing a **** ton of all in pots, and not running well in them. If you buy in full, you wouldn't be making this post.

LEARN THEM POKERS

100bb stax or gtfo


dude, youre not even good at poker. at least you have those short stackers to rag on to make you feel better!!
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Old 01-28-2009, 10:43 PM   #15
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Re: Beat: 4.5 months of me running like the man mathematics forgot

Cliff's: Don't shortstack, kids
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