|
|
| Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins. |
05-27-2012, 10:38 AM
|
#121
|
|
Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Baja
Posts: 10,818
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
yeah pretty much the 60s will be softer than the 100s so less likely that his non $30 games drag down the overall profit to negative. Also the 60s should go off faster than 100s and overall there should be more liquidity in 30-100s than there was between just 30 and 100s, so more games per hour should be possible.
Still gonna be hard, i thought he was less likely than 2.5 to 1 to make it before so this prob brings the line closer to where it should be.
|
|
|
05-27-2012, 10:41 AM
|
#122
|
|
Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 9,306
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Well it kinda changes the entire premise of the bet imo. Playing 30s and 100s only is going to make it harder I think since less 30s and 100s will pop off now, if he changes the parameters to add 60s and 200s it could go either way.
|
|
|
05-27-2012, 11:11 AM
|
#123
|
|
grinder
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Prague
Posts: 521
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by bbfg
Well it kinda changes the entire premise of the bet imo. Playing 30s and 100s only is going to make it harder I think since less 30s and 100s will pop off now, if he changes the parameters to add 60s and 200s it could go either way.
|
it does not imo
"I am allowed to play maximum of 25,000 games on $30 stakes (the rest will be on $100 stakes or whatever Stars add)"
but some clarification about rules will be needed
|
|
|
05-27-2012, 05:13 PM
|
#124
|
|
centurion
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 159
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
res 2k
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 10:34 AM
|
#125
|
|
journeyman
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: SNE's overrated
Posts: 384
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
I will confirm all the reservations by the end of the May, I dont have much time now, I am on a vacation
I have one escrow and I am still looking for at least one more and one judge.
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 12:08 PM
|
#126
|
|
adept
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,033
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
gl youll need it imo.
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 01:42 PM
|
#127
|
|
adept
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: ASk me about Rakeback deals
Posts: 993
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
So do you have to profit pre RB?
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 01:45 PM
|
#128
|
|
journeyman
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Coventry
Posts: 354
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Big GL Sir.
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 07:29 PM
|
#129
|
|
Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Stoke!
Posts: 4,365
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by overrdose.
So do you have to profit pre RB?
|
why dont u read the rules before asking q's like this?
|
|
|
05-28-2012, 10:58 PM
|
#130
|
|
adept
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: ASk me about Rakeback deals
Posts: 993
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taste_Them_Aces
why dont u read the rules before asking q's like this?
|
Wasn't stated in the "rules". Missed the part in the paragraph talking about his last bet. But I see it now
|
|
|
05-29-2012, 01:57 AM
|
#131
|
|
adept
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 826
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
interested in 500 with american-friendly payment options
|
|
|
05-29-2012, 08:06 AM
|
#132
|
|
enthusiast
Join Date: Feb 2010
Posts: 62
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Seems like you're going for 24 tabling, the average of an Hyper-Turbo is around 10 minutes, so that's 24*6=144 per hour, 40k/144=278 hours. http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54...opbet-1102796/ there they wrote that you played 386 hours for your last challenge, so the volume is not an issue for you. It's not easy for everyone to play 300 hours but for you it'll be super fine. Then you need to be positive but it's more likely that you'll be since your ROI is 1%, on any sample no matter how big (or small ofc) it is the probability of you showing a profit is over 0.5. GL finding people.
|
|
|
05-29-2012, 08:32 AM
|
#133
|
|
adept
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Europe
Posts: 1,114
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwishFTW
Seems like you're going for 24 tabling, the average of an Hyper-Turbo is around 10 minutes, so that's 24*6=144 per hour, 40k/144=278 hours. http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54...opbet-1102796/ there they wrote that you played 386 hours for your last challenge, so the volume is not an issue for you. It's not easy for everyone to play 300 hours but for you it'll be super fine. Then you need to be positive but it's more likely that you'll be since your ROI is 1%, on any sample no matter how big (or small ofc) it is the probability of you showing a profit is over 0.5. GL finding people.
|
I don't think it's possible to 24-table 6-max hypers, he's probably gonna play less at once. I think he wrote some numbers somewhere
|
|
|
05-29-2012, 08:36 AM
|
#134
|
|
enthusiast
Join Date: Feb 2010
Posts: 62
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Well if it's not possible to 24-table then what's the purpose of this rule?
Quote:
|
7. The bet will be void if PokerStars reduces the maximum number of sit and go tables that can be played at once to 23 or lower.
|
|
|
|
05-29-2012, 09:17 AM
|
#135
|
|
adept
Join Date: May 2010
Location: Morgue
Posts: 1,154
|
Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
yeah but he wont be continuously 24 tabling every hour he plays. During off peak hour esp it wont even be possible to 24table $30+ as there wont be that many running. If i were to try and put a number out there on the amount of tables he will be playing on avg for each hour he plays it would be more like 15-17.
That being said i dont think volume will be an issue in this challenge either. Profit is the biggest thing. And even if his true ROI was 0% i still wouldnt consider 2.5-1 odds to be a fair bet for anyone. Hence why i will not be betting here. TBH i would only consider betting on this if the odds were more like 1.5-1. But thats just 1 donkeys opinion.
|
|
|
| Thread Tools |
|
|
| Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:56 AM.
|