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| Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins. |
05-23-2012, 02:07 AM
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#91
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: the big NY
Posts: 3,582
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
lol at playing 40k games with 2-3 days remaining
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05-23-2012, 02:10 AM
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#92
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Checking out this year's crop
Posts: 5,088
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jdwarriors5
lol at playing 40k games with 2-3 days remaining
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C'mon, what's an extra 100-150 games/day in the scheme of things  . The whole thing is pretty lolsick for sure.
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05-23-2012, 05:15 AM
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#93
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 9,294
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gramps
Is it? It may just be unintended poor wording (based on the example in #14), but the phrase "at least" sounds like a very lawyerly/backdoor way to give OP a way to win the bet. There's nothing saying what the maximum number of games is (needs to play 40k games and have a profit at some point after playing "at least" 40k games).
So, play 40k games with 2-3 days remaining  using up all 25k 30's, then if you're still down say several k+, you game select 100s as best you can to try and get a last ditch upswing. Even if it increases the chances of winning by 5-10%, that's pretty huge getting 5:2 with a lot of $$ at stake.
Either way, sounds like the bet's going to happen. People like to gambool 
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You not interested in betting then  ?
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05-23-2012, 09:51 AM
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#94
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: just want to run better than Gramps
Posts: 3,280
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gramps
Is it? It may just be unintended poor wording (based on the example in #14), but the phrase "at least" sounds like a very lawyerly/backdoor way to give OP a way to win the bet. There's nothing saying what the maximum number of games is (needs to play 40k games and have a profit at some point after playing "at least" 40k games).
So, play 40k games with 2-3 days remaining  using up all 25k 30's, then if you're still down say several k+, you game select 100s as best you can to try and get a last ditch upswing. Even if it increases the chances of winning by 5-10%, that's pretty huge getting 5:2 with a lot of $$ at stake.
Either way, sounds like the bet's going to happen. People like to gambool 
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this is true, i rather like 0,0% roi calculated as sharkcope then 1$ profit as requirement
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05-23-2012, 02:26 PM
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#95
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: May 2010
Location: mom's basement
Posts: 3,517
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
the rule should be clear cut. If by x games you do not show a profit then...
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05-23-2012, 03:05 PM
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#96
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enthusiast
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 95
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
GL Bro sick bet
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05-23-2012, 05:41 PM
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#97
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old hand
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: William Penns Woods
Posts: 1,681
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by SkinnyStax
the rule should be clear cut. If by x games you do not show a profit then...
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Agreed. Don't want any mistakes yo ..
Also, I'm confused if you DON'T play 40,000 SnG's. Is that a push? Or do we auto win?
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05-23-2012, 05:57 PM
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#98
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Baja
Posts: 10,817
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by SkinnyStax
the rule should be clear cut. If by x games you do not show a profit then...
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Pretty much every similar bet ive seen has been play at least X games and show profit on or after game x. So if he makes 40k games but is negative, he can keep grinding to try and get his overall profit positive.
^obv if he doesnt make 40k games then he loses and bettors win.
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05-23-2012, 08:12 PM
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#99
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newbie
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Toronto
Posts: 38
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fredron
Sorry I don't think I fully understand this one rule.
"14. I must make a profit. If at the same moment I made a profit and I have played at least 40,000 games, I won this bet (e.g. if I play 40,000 games with a $10 profit and then play some more games and have -$50 loss, I still won)"
Let's say you play 40,000 games but you're -$10, does that mean you lost the bet or can you continue to play so you stop at more than 40,000 games and when you have a profit?
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I think he means after 40,000 games it does not matter what profit he is at, just the 40,000 game profit matters.
Correct me if im wrong OP
Thinking of booking some action, need to look into it, if you played 24,000 10 man 50/50 .... then 40k 6max hyper turbo should be a lot easier to play that amount but the profit will be harder I think.
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05-23-2012, 10:24 PM
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#100
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veteran
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: drinking obv
Posts: 2,126
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
he said he will need to play like 40 hours more that that 24k bet, thats a big difference cuz even in that previous bet he played a looot
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05-23-2012, 10:35 PM
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#101
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centurion
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 109
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Yeah guys, there's absolutely no way this prop is easier than the last one. Hypers are a much harder format to grind long sessions with. The thought of playing hypers more than 4 hours straight at a rate of >90 tables/hour is just painful.
I don't want to be a naysayer, but I really don't think he can do it. I might put a small wager down, and I'd really say that this is a decent investment for anybody out there to make. The volume itself is insane, and it's really easy to run way below EV in these things, and when most of the best hyper grinders are somewhere between 0 and 1% ROI pre RB, that just makes things even tougher for him.
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05-23-2012, 11:54 PM
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#102
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Staking
Posts: 17,368
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Hello
Would you do a HU bet vs someone?
Each game is worth 1 point. Each dollar of profit is worth 1 point (obv negative money is minus on your score).
could be fun to sweat 2 people at once in this kind of bet. ha ha
obv would be a side bet involved.
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05-24-2012, 02:29 AM
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#103
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 4,285
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
wat? are you saying you wanna do this too?
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05-24-2012, 03:02 AM
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#104
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Staking
Posts: 17,368
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
not me
but a friend of mine might be interested.
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05-24-2012, 10:11 AM
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#105
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old hand
Join Date: May 2008
Location: @whollyflush
Posts: 1,494
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet
Whats the song from the trailer called?
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