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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 05-14-2012, 04:33 PM   #1
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Spade 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

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It seems that the image is broken, anyway, here is the link to the stream http://cs.twitch.tv/phase89

Hi guys, it's me again For those who don't know, I made a proposition bet with others that I can play 24,000 Fifty50 SnG's in October 2011 and make profit. I went through hell, but after the longest month in my entire life I managed to win the propbet. I really recommend to read through the previous thread, it's really interesting: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54/poker-beats-brags-variance/24-000-sngs-october-propbet-1102796/
PokerNews.com article summarizing the October propbet: http://www.pokernews.com/news/2011/11/martin-phase89-balaz-wins-fifty50-prop-beton-pokerstars-11432.htm

And now I want to do another challenge. For the warm-up, here is really amazing promotional trailer:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCoxg3syn6U

This propbet is that I, phasE89, can play 40,000 games of 6-max hyperturbo SnG's on PokerStars, starting 15th June 2012 at 0:00 Central European Time (CET) and ending 14th July 2012 at 23:59 CET. Odds are 2,5:1 in my favour and I'm looking to put up $20k in total to win $50k. I will be playing only $30 and higher buyins. I have to be profitable to win this bet, not including rakeback. I am allowed to play maximum of 25,000 games on $30 stakes (the rest will be on $100 stakes or whatever Stars add)

It will probably be even more difficult then my previous 24,000 Fifty50 SnG’s propbet, because I can not play lower stakes, I have just 30, not 31 days and it will probably take about 400+ hours to win this challenge, not 380. Plus, the edge in these is significantly lower, many regs are claiming than the games are already deadier then dead. I want to prove myself that I can make really insane propbets and be profitable in any game I want.
I will rent a nice villa with my girlfriend (also poker player) for the month, hopefully it will help to win my challenge.

Judge will be only one and his name is ... (I am looking for a judge right now)
Escrow's names are: ... (I am looking for as many reputable escrow as possible. If you want to help me, please PM me or write down to the comments)

I am currently accepting reservation bets.

You will find a live stream here: http://cs.justin.tv/phase89/videos

The final decider about total profit and number of games will be PokerStars representative, if needed.

I will keep updating my blog www.phasE89.net, posting to this thread, and updating my Twitter account every day (http://twitter.com/#!/phasE89).


Rules:

Spoiler:

Last edited by wafflehouse1; 06-14-2012 at 06:34 PM.
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Old 05-14-2012, 04:37 PM   #2
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

I also played just over 2K games so far in 6-max hypers and I have not much time to prepare. I will play UKIPT Dublin, starting on 17th May and right after that I am going for 11 days to NYC.

Here is my graph from 6-max hypers and the total stats with 48% rakeback (I am SNE just from 2012):


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Old 05-14-2012, 04:46 PM   #3
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

reserve me $400
(my $400 vs yours $160)
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Old 05-14-2012, 04:48 PM   #4
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

Second !? in epic thread gl sicko
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Old 05-14-2012, 04:55 PM   #5
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

1st page
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Old 05-14-2012, 05:14 PM   #6
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

didn't read lol

jk gl
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Old 05-14-2012, 05:14 PM   #7
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

Sick run good at 6-max hypers
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Old 05-14-2012, 05:25 PM   #8
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

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12. If I cannot play because PokerStars is down, the downtime will be added onto the end of the bet. I must post in this thread if I cannot play because PokerStars is down. I will then get the time between my post and when I start playing again added to the end of the bet. This is at the judges discretion.

you mean when PS is back as confirmed by Judges or 2+2 community??
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Old 05-14-2012, 05:38 PM   #9
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

In terms of volume, its 24-tabling ~ 9 hours/day. Obviously difficult but very much doable.

Profit is the key here obviously as ROI tends to fall quite a bit as you increase the number of tables you are playing. Very difficult to make profit pre-rakeback with this volume in hypers for sure. How many tables will you be playing?
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Old 05-14-2012, 05:45 PM   #10
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

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you mean when PS is back as confirmed by Judges or 2+2 community??
Yeah, sure, I wrote that wrong. I will edit this line ASAP.

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reserve me $400
(my $400 vs yours $160)
reserved.
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Old 05-14-2012, 06:02 PM   #11
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

This is gonna be sickhard. Prob will make a small bet for a sweat but gl regardless.

Did you put "non satellite" 6m hypers anywhere in the rules?
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Old 05-14-2012, 06:10 PM   #12
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

your a sicko
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Old 05-14-2012, 06:15 PM   #13
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

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Originally Posted by Rusemandingo View Post
This is gonna be sickhard. Prob will make a small bet for a sweat but gl regardless.

Did you put "non satellite" 6m hypers anywhere in the rules?
I didnt put it anywhere, I will. Thanks for pointing that out.
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Old 05-14-2012, 06:29 PM   #14
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

Enjoyed seeing one of my posts in the vid. Now to decide if I want to bet against the unbeatable again or not. Will give it some thought. GL sicko
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Old 05-14-2012, 07:10 PM   #15
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Re: 40,000 SnG's in 30 days propbet

but how many vpps did u cheat? :P
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