Quote:
because the guys that have survived the lag wars and learned how to play tough and fearsome move up and up and up. And yeah of course there is survivorship bias in that
Yup. I like graphs but I don't know how to post one so I'll describe what I'm thinking: the horizontal axis would be preflop tight---------loose preflop play; the vertical axis would be the winrates. Assuming good postflop play, I think the resulting curve, or upside down V, would top out somewhere around 24-28% vpip for a full game. The left and right extremes would feature low winrates, while the center would feature the highest winrates.
So it's not as if you reach a certain perfect vpip% and the winrate plummets if you go any higher. Instead it's a slow drop in winrate as you move away from the center.
A little loose or a little tight isn't that bad, but very loose or very tight can be very bad to the point that winrates go negative.
Maybe someone smart will post a visual image of what I'm thinking.
Here's my try:
......................................^
.................................... /..\
..................................../.....\
.................................. /........\
................................../..........\
.=====================================0ev
............................... /...............\
.............................../.................\
............................../....................\
............................./......................\
0% vpip----------------------|--------------------------------------100% vpip
..................................26%imo
So realistically we can play anywhere in the top section of the upside down V and have a profitable strategy.
Last edited by Bob148; 04-28-2017 at 11:35 AM.