Quote:
Originally Posted by phunkphish
Tough without reads, but lets try.
Hand 1.
Giving him a reasonable defending range, I check back flop. What is your plan on this board? Bet twice and check back river? Bet once, check turn, decide river? Bet and hate life if you get raised? His Axs and lower pocket pairs are drawing slim. His Qx and Kx destroy us. We barely have an equity edge vs AT/AJ/TJ. Unless he has a 7, this is a WA/WB spot. I'd check twice and vbet river on good runouts. 2nd best line is check, bet, check. No reason to auto-cbet this unless you have a good plan to follow it up. In fact, this hand is EASIER to play if we check flop.
Another advantage of checking flop: exploitatively folding turn if villain leads. Most passive players will never bluff in this spot, allowing you to safely fold.
Hand 2.
Against most, this is an easy vbet. If limper had a Q, he'd usually raise flop. If limper had an 8, he'd usually raise turns.
Agreed on hand 2 riv vbet.
Hand one: IDK, maybe California games are crazy looser than where you're from, but a bet here accomplishes many things in my games:
-gets a call from 22-88
-folds out Ax, Jxs, Txs-- three+ out hands.
- if they do have a weak K or Q that they'll only check call with, get you to the river for only $20 (this one is dubious, Obv)
I dig the way you think about the game but you're giving too much credit here to 95% of 15 and 20 opponents. They're loose, they suck, and they are not defending (even SB) with what you or I would call a "reasonable range against your MP open, speaking in a Bayesian sense.
Now, I am going to listen to Remain in Light Halloween '98. Cheers.