Quote:
Originally Posted by CrazyLond
I am interested in this, because I would think a four bet on the turn makes more sense. I definitely think we will lose value sometimes with a call and plan to raise the river because there are certainly scare cards that can turn him into a check-caller on the river. On the turn, I feel like he either has a strong hand that is not going to fold to a 4 bet now that the pot is massive, or a semibluff that can't fold because it has outs.
As far as the hand is concerned, I think it's between fold the turn and call the turn/river. I lean towards calling down because he tanked before 3 betting the turn. In my experience, this is rarely an act by an expert and more likely to mean he was actually thinking, meaning I can discount the top part of his range that he would likely have reraised in rhythm.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ontherail15
That being said we have to bluff sometimes and we should bluff in the way we'd play our value range, by calling the 3bet and raising the river, (we can talk more about this if you guys want). The question I have is this, is it better to choose a value hand to turn into a bluff (like axts) or a missed draw we decided to raise on the turn 8s7x.
My feeling is the latter is probably better in this case for a lot of reasons. So I guess I've talked myself out of raising the river here.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheRail15
If I had a strong hand here, I'd want to strengthen my turn calling range rather than put my hand into the bucket that contains literally zero marginal hands
Agree with everything CrazyLond. If we have a strong value hand (eg flush), this is an obvious 4b spot on the turn. Delaying will cost us a lot of value if a scare card comes on the river. Which bucket contains no marginal hands? We can 4b! bluff turn with dry K
or 78
as you mentioned. The fish also helps pad our equity on our turn semi-bluffs (strong hands also get more value from fish by 4b'ing the turn).
On the river, possible straights, full-houses, and 4-flushes will appear. Our call-turn-3b and raise-river value-range can be mostly these, along with
some delayed flushes/sets. The more wet the turn is, the less we need to delay.
PF, with a fish cold-calling, 4b for value.