Quote:
Originally Posted by private joker
I'd need to know more about BB's play but full ring specialist and nitty image leads me to believe he isn't 3-betting this turn unless you're crushed. Even if he's capable of a creative play from time to time, is it often enough that he's going to bet/3-bet a hand you're either ahead of or have a ton of outs again? Like, I don't think he's even 3-betting J9 here.
So that leads me to want to r/f like Cap'n says. Just too many draws we don't want SB to pay cheaply for. And since SB only bluffs in straightforward spots, he's never c/3-betting here on a bluff. So I think a raise is pretty safe. Gets value when we're ahead, protects hand vs. SB, and slows down BB on a lot of gnarly rivers. If I raised and just got called by BB, I would bet a brick river (non-heart 7 or smaller) and check behind K/T/hearts.
Devil's advocate argument is: what is BB's turn donking range here? If it includes hands like KhJx and AhJx or even QxTh, then great. But if he's only taking this line with crafty monsters then a raise isn't so great. I just have a hard time believing he's going to bet/3-bet this turn when he wouldn't c/r the flop having trapped the SB.
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I think he has J9, 810

something like that. By donking the turn he is just asking to be called or raised. I think we need to make a tight fold here especially with another player to act.