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| Medium Stakes Limit Discussions of medium stakes limit Texas Hold'em |
05-22-2012, 06:49 AM
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#1
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adept
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 875
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Missing value?
Currently 9 handed game, that's tightened up since the afternoon lags have departed. UTG is tight passive; Villian in MP is also tight passive(but not totally lost) I would say he figures me for TAGish.
UTG limps, hero utg+3 raises with A/Qo, villain in MP 3! folds around UTG cold calls, I call. I give him a 3! range of 10s + maybe AK.
To the flop 10.5sb.
As, Jx, Qs,
check,check, Villain bets, UTG folds, Hero C/R, Villain 3! Hero calls.
Cap worthy?
Turn 8.5bb.
Ax
Hero ?
Thanks for all your thoughts!
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05-22-2012, 07:01 AM
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#2
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journeyman
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Lamentations received
Posts: 327
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Re: Missing value?
nh
fist pump with each raise after turn.
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05-22-2012, 07:52 AM
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#3
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old hand
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,544
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Re: Missing value?
Give us your flop reasoning.
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05-22-2012, 09:45 AM
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#4
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: taking notes on u (see profile)
Posts: 11,993
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Re: Missing value?
His most likely hand is JJ now. So you have to decide if you can get more bets in with a c/r (maybe get him to a 3! you can 4!) or a donk/3!. I am torn but lean toward donk/3! because there is always the chance he was doing some dumb fc play with KK, plus his being tight passive makes it less likely he'll 3! a c/r, whereas I think his raising a donk with JJ or QQ is much more likely.
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05-22-2012, 04:04 PM
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#5
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adept
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 875
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Re: Missing value?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Munga30
Give us your flop reasoning.
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for the c/r or for not 4! ?
the c/r is because that's about gin for my hand, I can't play totally scared. As for not 4! he 3! so I put him on jj or qq, it's spewing chips to 4! there imo.
As for the turn I went for the c/r, as I didn't see how he could check the turn.
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05-22-2012, 05:19 PM
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#6
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veteran
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Jersey
Posts: 3,355
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Re: Missing value?
Since you have described the villian as passive I would lead the turn. That's really your only chance of getting more than two bets in and avoids the turn check through which would be a disaster with a hand this strong.
One to three bets is better than zero to two bets so lead.
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05-22-2012, 08:00 PM
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#7
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Most Definitely
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Am I the boxer or the bag?
Posts: 25,231
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Re: Missing value?
I don't understand the thread title. Preflop is totally standard, and the flop is totally standard. (More action is silly given the range Hero puts villain on -- we're only beating AK and he likely wouldn't even 3-bet the flop with that hand if he's passive).
As for the turn, we don't even know what Hero is going to do, but you have the nuts so I doubt you'll be missing value as long as you never stop betting or raising. I would bet/3-bet because if you c/r he'll just call down JJ, but if you b/3, he'll call down a 3-bet with JJ. Same with QQ I suppose (even though that's only one combo). That said, if he is putting you on AK, then he may 3-bet a c/r, in which case you can 4-bet. Neither option is that bad -- again, you have the nuts, so it's a pretty boring question. Next hand.
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05-23-2012, 12:44 AM
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#8
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adept
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 875
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Re: Missing value?
The thread title is in reference to the turn action, which I missed value by going for a c/r.
thanks for all the thoughts everyone ! I'll work on getting a more interesting hand for next time!
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05-23-2012, 01:44 AM
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#9
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adept
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: 128 area
Posts: 973
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Re: Missing value?
Villain cannot have anything but QQ, JJ, and AKs here, IMO. QQ (1 combo) is drawing dead, JJ (3 combos) has 1 out, and AKs (1 combo) has 3 outs. Weighted average of 1.2 outs. Just keep shoveling money into this pot.
Edit: if he can have AKo, that increases him to four 3-out combos. Still, weighted average of 1.875 outs, so it changes nothing.
Last edited by jdr0317; 05-23-2012 at 01:46 AM.
Reason: Mis-represented villain's range.
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05-23-2012, 02:48 AM
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#10
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Yes, you barred
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 13,374
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Re: Missing value?
In the commerce 40 the flop 3! Is exactly AK, KK, TT, or a spade draw you say he can't have, so I definitely donk the turn. Vs a passive player absent more info....I'd still bet/3 I think.
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05-23-2012, 02:52 AM
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#11
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grinder
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Beantown
Posts: 534
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C/r ainec imo. Because you didnt cap the flop, he almost always bet turn...his entire 3bet + flop 3bet range destroys this flop, but you end up peeling the absolute nuts. C/r turn and bet/raise/cap every opportunity thereafter. Capping the flop is questionable, but AK is the only hand that we beat that he 3bets with. Everything else has us crushed. He can still even have AA otf at that point......so i actually prefer the flat call. Let him go ape**** with AK if he wants. Dont turn our hand face up, and dont get bets in behind.....its either one or the other so the flat call is perfect imo.
Last edited by alew22; 05-23-2012 at 02:58 AM.
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05-24-2012, 05:22 AM
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#12
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adept
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 875
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Re: Missing value?
I thought it was worth mentioning.
The turn went check, check(which made me sick and left me wondering how I could let that happen)
River was a K, I bet and got a 10 second chat and a call from kings full.
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05-24-2012, 05:29 AM
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#13
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Most Definitely
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Am I the boxer or the bag?
Posts: 25,231
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Re: Missing value?
Quote:
Originally Posted by prototypepariah
I thought it was worth mentioning.
The turn went check, check(which made me sick and left me wondering how I could let that happen)
River was a K, I bet and got a 10 second chat and a call from kings full.
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First of all, don't be results-oriented.
Second of all, even if you had to be results-oriented, don't you think he would have folded KK to a turn bet?
Thirdly, I think you need to revise your read that he's tight-passive. He 3-bet an AQJ flop with KK for a free card. That's neither tight nor passive. It's just stupid.
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05-24-2012, 10:36 AM
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#14
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Saint Paul, MN
Posts: 3,732
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prototypepariah
Currently 9 handed game, that's tightened up since the afternoon lags have departed. UTG is tight passive; Villian in MP is also tight passive(but not totally lost) I would say he figures me for TAGish.
UTG limps, hero utg+3 raises with A/Qo, villain in MP 3! folds around UTG cold calls, I call. I give him a 3! range of 10s + maybe AK.
To the flop 10.5sb.
As, Jx, Qs,
check,check, Villain bets, UTG folds, Hero C/R, Villain 3! Hero calls.
Cap worthy?
Turn 8.5bb.
Ax
Hero ?
Thanks for all your thoughts!
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Grunch
Pf and OTF are good. Vs this villian - tp - i don't think he'd check back but I would go ape**** if he did so I think I'd hesitate and donk - and ldo raise if he raises.
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05-24-2012, 12:58 PM
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#15
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: taking notes on u (see profile)
Posts: 11,993
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Re: Missing value?
Quote:
Originally Posted by private joker
First of all, don't be results-oriented.
Second of all, even if you had to be results-oriented, don't you think he would have folded KK to a turn bet?
Thirdly, I think you need to revise your read that he's tight-passive. He 3-bet an AQJ flop with KK for a free card. That's neither tight nor passive. It's just stupid.
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I actually think being results-oriented here is somewhat appropriate. In my previous post, I mentioned the chance of KK making a fc play as one of the reasons I prefer bet here. I think saying that he would have folded the turn is a bit wishful, though of course possible. Overall, I think a turn bet is better than a c/r, and we shouldn't dismiss that by saying we can't go wrong either way. Yes, both plays are obviously +EV, but as always we're interested in relative differences, not absolute values.
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