Quote:
Originally Posted by 6MaxLHE
Bet, why would you give a free card to gutshots, oesd or fd. River is close but I would probably lean towards checking to induce bluffs and avoid having to bet fold.
If he does not bluff them , you are right.
But if he bluff them , you get paid anyway.
Pot is around 4,5 BB on turn.
imo you need to take into account that BU has a lot more A in his hands than you.
8 outs for OESD give him around 16-18%, lets give him 20%, that is around .9 BB value.
Why would you be so concern to pay 1BB for protecting an equity that is lower than your bet, risking to get own often on the turn when you are stuck to call down and waste at least 1 BB more ?
I mean you want to c/c river to induce a bluff on the river.
OK but why not c/c turn to induce him to bluff too ?
ps: btw i just think donk/checking flop is nonsense.
You will give too much information because your 3bet range is not wide enough to hide info by splitting your range with b/c, c/f, c/c, etc .
Much better to keep your range opaque and c-bet any flop HU with a decent tight range . Especially with an A flopping.