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thesilverbail, if you say this guy hates to get owned and would fold a value hand in a big pot, that's your read and how can we argue?
I agree it's a fair response to say "well if this is read-based, there's not much we can tell you'. But I'm hoping there's still something we can discuss.
My question is about extrapolation of reads. I've seen him bet fold a number of times in the past. Most of those times I could imagine a reasonable value bet-fold range for him to have that I would play the same way, but that should not be a large part of his range, and the slightly elevated number of times I've seen him do it seems to suggest that he bet-folds exploitably, perhaps cause he doesn't want to get value owned or perhaps because he makes the (somewhat reasonable) assumption that most people don't bluff raise enough. In a BVB spot he's even x/r/f'd to me on the river claiming he had TPTK.
Other things about him to build a profile on: he plays very loose preflop, but he sort of mixes up and "balances" his preflop range, like he'll suddenly open limp AJo UTG sometimes. He's capable of hand-reading and being aware of how other people are putting him on ranges and adjusting accordingly (though not always correctly imo). His flop aggression is high and generally value/protection-oriented. He gives up on bluffs on turns and rivers if the runout is not favorable.
I'm wondering if this is enough information to try making a play on. Should I be generally on the lookout for spots to bluff raise but this one is an exceptionally bad one, because even a guy who b/f's a lot will get sticky? Or is it good because his range is sorta capped (he can have 1 combo of nuts and a few 2 pairs, but not much else that's strong and as pointed out earlier he's going to be tempted to bet thin).