Quote:
Originally Posted by DougL
Aaron W had a nice 2+2 magazine article on the subject. The spot was close OTB. IIRC, his math said bloating was slightly bad. Mason liked the aspect of tying people to the pot when you hit, and posted an addendum that said he still thought it was a good play due to making more money when you hit. Reading both sides made it seem pretty close, and the field's reaction/future play was the crux of the debate. I think the raising arguments are weaker in EP, such that I much prefer jonboy72's play of it.
One point that Ed Miller made in one of his videos is that bloating also ties YOU to the pot. We don't think about this very much but if a raise on one street increases our pot odds when we are behind and drawing on future streets, that's a cost, not a benefit.
For example, consider a no-limit hand where you have a draw on the flop with a $100 pot. Your opponent bets $80 into the pot and leaves herself with $30 left. If you call the $80, you are basically committing yourself to call the $30 on the turn if you miss because you are going to be getting enormous pot odds on the turn call. Which means you really should consider the cost of the call as $110, not $80. Calling the $80 automatically costs the $30. That doesn't make the call bad, of course; it just points out that a play on one street which increases the pot odds on a future street can cost us money by forcing us to stay in the hand.
I think Aaron actually got at that point in his article, but it's worth remembering.