Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > Limit Texas Hold'em > Medium Stakes Limit

Notices

Medium Stakes Limit Discussions of medium stakes limit Texas Hold'em

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-01-2012, 12:44 AM   #31
stranger
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 10
Re: Grand 15: Easy fold? 24 BB pot

Quote:
Originally Posted by adios View Post
Yeah he's only getting half the pot at best in my view. Yeah there's a lot of bets in that pot but calling 2 BBs cold (hopefully that's all it will cost) for a split at best translates into a pot that in reality isn't laying hero a great price. Further CO is raising an obvious straight so CO has a straight beat (CO certainly expects a call for one more bet) or is tied and trying to gain 1/2 the pot vs 1/3 of the pot. I'm thinking it's much more likely CO can beat a straight. I realize there's a small chance that some drunks are getting really out of line here so that is something to consider.
So you're saying co raised the turn with a set or 2 pair... I'd say thats just as likely as him raising the river with just a 10.
IgottaEat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-01-2012, 12:47 AM   #32
stranger
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 10
Re: Grand 15: Easy fold? 24 BB pot

Quote:
Originally Posted by The_MPC View Post
Or maybe even KT. Point being, we are getting half the pot at best here.

The only reason to 3-bet the turn is to attempt to protect our half of the pot from HJ potentially drawing out on us with his set or 2 pair. The pot is big, so making HJ pay to draw is good. But once the board pairs on the river we likely cannot even beat what we were trying to protect ourselves from.

If we are going to raise to protect on the turn, then we have to fold the river when one of our bad cards hits.
It wasn't just a raise for protection on the turn, there is a ton of value in it if he's freerolling against 2 naked 10s.
IgottaEat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-01-2012, 05:51 AM   #33
Pooh-Bah
 
nonsimplesimon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Saint Paul, MN
Posts: 3,698
Re: Grand 15: Easy fold? 24 BB pot

Is the proper river play cf or bf?

It just seems like its a little weird to check (fold) after 3! Ott and just give up because the board paired? I mean make this a 4/8 or 3/6 are we cf ing here vs two lp drunks? Again I don't doubt that folding is the right play it is ... I just don't understand if our first move otr should be a check or a bet given the previous street's action.
nonsimplesimon is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-01-2012, 12:29 PM   #34
journeyman
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Between New Orleans and AC
Posts: 375
Re: Grand 15: Easy fold? 24 BB pot

I just think this hand is soooooo super read specific. I mean, on a scale of 1 to 10, how drunk and stupid were they?! So drunk and stupid that a raise would come from any hand containing a Q? I do agree that we are playing for half the pot, at best, but I do not agree that this is an auto-fold in these game conditions. In other words, I'm not mad at ya for calling in this spot if that's how ya played it. I also think it's important to keep in mind that even drunk hotards grow a pair every once in a while and decide to try to bluff at a pot that is inflated. They do it in their home games, are generally too scared to try to execute bluffs in casino LHE games, but then every once in a while--especially with liquid courage--they decide to bluff... and usually in the spots that a 2 + 2'er would deem TERRIBLE spots for bluffs. So again, that's a live read-specific situation.

That said, we obv have to save BB's on the river when we know we're beat--doing so can mean all the difference for our bottom line. So if your read is that you're beat, then yeah, you gotta muck! But if you're unsure of whether your straight's good here, it's not an insta-fold against drunk idiots when the pot is laying you such a ridiculously large price.

As far as your inquiry into whether "the correct play" is to bf or to cf, I don't understand what betting here can possibly do for us? I mean, the players you've described are NEVER going lay down any hand with a 10 in it, so you're not ever inducing a fold from a hand that splits with you. This is DEF not a value bet spot, either (for all the reasons discussed above, you are, most likely, behind here!). So IMO, the only option is to check and insta-call one bet in spots like this, and check and tank for two bets...

So I guess I'm not saying that a fold here is wrong, but I am saying that I disagree with those people who claim that's an insta-fold. It's not. And sometimes it may be correct to call. The most interesting thing about the hand analysis for me is that you'd even consider betting out on this river. I really don't understand what the purpose of such a bet would be.

Last edited by COCOCHANEL; 07-01-2012 at 12:41 PM.
COCOCHANEL is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-03-2012, 03:49 PM   #35
Pooh-Bah
 
armor32's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Verifying chips
Posts: 3,625
results?
armor32 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 07-05-2012, 06:35 AM   #36
stranger
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 5
Re: Grand 15: Easy fold? 24 BB pot

...and why did you check the river again?
trickytricky is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:21 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.6.0 ©2011, Crawlability, Inc.
Copyright © 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive