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Good River? Good River?

02-07-2017 , 10:58 AM
Mid-limit game in LA. Villain is unknown, but he is wearing a suit and a diamond-encrusted watch.

I open A8s in the HJ and villain calls the SB next in. BB folds.

Flop Q86r. Villain check/calls.

Turn 4. Villain check/calls.

River 8. Villain donks, I raise, villain 3bets. Do we 4bet?
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02-07-2017 , 11:10 AM
No. A bit too ambitious vs. an unknown.
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02-07-2017 , 11:17 AM
I'd just call, too much stuff is beating us.
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02-07-2017 , 09:47 PM
It's impossible that you're beat unless he's playing weird. He kinda has an easy 3 bet on the river with 8x or AA so I don't hate a 4 bet.
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02-07-2017 , 09:50 PM
I don't mind 4 betting here. We would have heard from 2 pair before the river. If he played it goofy then oh well, note it and move on.

I expect to see 87, 85 here.
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02-08-2017 , 04:08 AM
Easy call. He always has something utterly random that beats you.
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02-08-2017 , 06:05 AM
For hands like this its important to explain the betting caps. Whether 4b, 5b, infinite HU is pertinent.

Comes down to what reads you have for this randomly well dressed villain. I'd 4bet but not that interesting.
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02-08-2017 , 09:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bipolarbearclaw
It's impossible that you're beat unless he's playing weird. He kinda has an easy 3 bet on the river with 8x or AA so I don't hate a 4 bet.
I 4-bet, call 5. It looks so much like he has an 8 lower kicker that I'll pay 5.
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02-08-2017 , 09:54 AM
Call, 4! Vs unknown seems thin at best, plus seeing what he has is also helpful
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02-08-2017 , 10:14 AM
4bet/call. he most likely won't 5bet anyway unless he has qq
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02-08-2017 , 12:35 PM
If there is a 4 bet cap, it is an easy cap since you only need to be good 50%. If a 5bet cap, you probably don't need to be good too much more than that since he may have trouble 5betting without specifically QQ since QQ and 88 (if he doesn't have an 8) are in your range.

Sure he might have a VERY unusually played 44/66, 86s, QQ, Q8s but it seems much more likely that he has something like 98s, 87s, 85s, T8s, J8s. With those latter hands, his play doesn't seem that unusual.
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02-08-2017 , 01:21 PM
In LA, there's usually no cap when it's heads up.

Would be on the fence on a 4 bet, but would hate getting 5 bet. So.. I'd call and be happy with my decision.
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02-08-2017 , 01:58 PM
Is the kind of player who slow plays a set both on the flop and turn the same kind who donks the river (instead of checkraising)? I'd be shocked if that were so
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02-08-2017 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Frankie Fuzz
Is the kind of player who slow plays a set both on the flop and turn the same kind who donks the river (instead of checkraising)? I'd be shocked if that were so
Even if someone slow plays a set or 2 pair, the turn is a potential scary of a board for 4 card straight and we would have heard from the villain.

There is a chance he didn't c/r with turned straight and now, is donking out.

Still like the 4bet if you could fold to a 5bet.
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02-08-2017 , 08:32 PM
I think at game speed I would call but I like 4 betting more - smells like a chop but you don't want to let K8 off cheap
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02-09-2017 , 07:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steveistheman84
4bet/call. he most likely won't 5bet anyway unless he has qq
Or possibly also A8. There are situations to 4bet/fold, but this is not one of them in my book.
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02-10-2017 , 12:57 AM
Although there's a good chance you're ahead, since you'll have much better hands in your range here on this river (QQ, Q8s, 66,44,88) that drops A8 imo into my calling range against an unknown.

Also, how did villain call "next in" as the sb if you were hj? Jw if you were actually the BU here bc then there's a chance 86s is in your range otr also


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02-10-2017 , 07:06 PM
The EV difference of 4betting vs calling has to be too close to calculate, so i'd rely on psychological reasoning. IE it would tilt me to call 5 and lose, it would not tilt me to lose a bet by calling 3.
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02-10-2017 , 08:39 PM
I likely error on the side of caution to much (to much o8) and think it's a pretty easy 4 bet
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02-11-2017 , 07:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DesertCat
The EV difference of 4betting vs calling has to be too close to calculate, so i'd rely on psychological reasoning. IE it would tilt me to call 5 and lose, it would not tilt me to lose a bet by calling 3.
Yeah, there's a trick where you can reach for another bet, and see if he does anything to stop you. If he doesn't, just call. $$$
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