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If we're in our opponents shoes, should we bet or check call with A high on the turn?
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i open hijack a9, get 3bet by sb, bb fold, i call
tt4, x
We should bet this flop 100% imo thus we should never be in this spot on the turn.
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I'd call the turn readless. Then I'm probably calling 100% of rivers with this particular hand. Can't think of any river that I'd fold at the moment.
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I haven't used the free showdown raise in years and I don't think I'm missing much, if any, value because of it. The long term effects of such a low frequency play on one's winrate are negligible to say the least. So you feel good about yourself when it works and you win an extra bet once in a while. How much are you really gaining? Not much imo. Just call and let them bluff. Sure sometimes you get owned by 77 or AKo spikes a King on the river and you'll think you could've won the pot if you had raised the turn. However those situations are medium rare. Most of the time you're either crushed by AT+ or you have a bunch of outs vs 55-99, or you're bluffcatching vs a worse hand, or you're really hoping an ace comes off vs JJ-KK. You have a bluffcatcher so bluffcatch.
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Villain should certainly be bluffing 22 and 33 and maybe his lowest suited connector. His Jhigh+ are too strong to bluff with imo.
If I somehow misclicked 3 bet preflop with 33 or 22, and then I misclick checked the flop, I'd check the turn with those hands. Then if the turn checks through, I'd bluff with those hands as they are the very bottom of my range. Then when called I'm gonna fastroll my hand and be like "I got the board yo, wtf u got?!"