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What Bill Gates is Blind To What Bill Gates is Blind To

12-18-2013 , 08:47 PM
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Originally Posted by TomCowley
The biological pathway from genes to innate intelligence would basically require that basically all blacks have a bunch of something that's effectively dominant stupid genes in all/almost all intelligence-related functions. There's no reason the biology should be expected to work like that and not like something closer to an average.
It can certainly look like it is genetic. Blacks prior to the 1860s were genetically predisposed to being slaves in the US. Their phenotype proves it.

Most geneticists would argue against that interpretation though, I imagine.

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It's easy to selectively sample 1 SD apart. Go test buildings with white professionals and their black janitors and you might get 30 points. It's easy to legitimately BE 15 points apart- I mean it's easy to imagine that any particular/potential bright child, if you were so disposed, could be/have been turned into anything from average to full ****** with enough bad nutrition, disease, lack of intellectual stimulation, and whacks upside the head. Find a sample that does something badly relative to an otherwise identical sample and there's 15 points without trying, and none of it's genetic. Whatever genetic issues there may be, even if it's a full 15 points in some cases, aren't going to stand out obviously from random variation and all of the other environmental crap going on. It would be blindingly obvious something big was going on if US blacks were genetically -50. It wouldn't be obvious at -10.
To make it easy on you, there typically isn't a selection bias. We can use statistical techniques to control for most of the variables you are bringing up and there aren't many researchers out there stupid enough to believe that a random sample from a population isn't a random sample from a population (we even have tests to show that the sampling was random).

What we can't control for (in the studies between countries) is the country the person is in and (in the within country studies) the effects of looking like someone of a particular racial group.

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I found a link with a bunch of Irish-English schoolkid studies showing the gap has been shrinking, and the author attributed it to more relative urbanization in Ireland (which I assume actually happened) and said that no biological (i.e. genetic) explanation makes sense. So who knows.
Good boy. You have discovered the Flynn effect. It occurs from time to time and place to place.

We also don't find the Irish-English IQ differences in the USA or in Australia. We used to find them in the US.

The point that you seem to correctly be arriving at is that these sorts of studies cannot be interpreted as showing a genetic effect (unless you believe that some strange gene-environment interaction is in effect).

The only way of figuring out whether the cause of the population differences is due to genetics is to find the genes specifically responsible. I don't know about you, but I don't care whether I mate with an Ashkenazi Jew or African American as much as whether I mate with someone who carries the gene for Tay-Sachs disease or sickle cell anemia. This is mostly because, despite my best efforts, I rarely get to mate with a population instead of an individual.*

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The problem with controlling for occupation too carefully is that if the occupation itself self-selects for a particular IQ range (and it's pretty obvious that they do), or even worse self-selects differently by race, then you've lost representative sampling and muted whatever difference there might be. I mean if you test only janitors, you'll get some B-W difference, but if 20% of the white population turned into supergeniuses (and sought employment accordingly), and you tested again, you'd get about the same difference because ~none of the supergeniuses would be janitors and you'd totally miss the huge difference in population averages. Or when your occupation is "voluntarily enlisted to go overseas in the army post-war", you basically lose the entire right tail and its effect on the population difference.
You are imagining the problem to be a bit bigger than it is. We don't just run one analysis on one set of data and call it a day.

*Technically, that isn't true. What we could do is do test-tube babies assigned to random wombs, peel their skin off at birth, do some plastic surgery a la Michael Jackson and raise them in standardized environments, but that study probably won't be done any time soon.
What Bill Gates is Blind To Quote
01-08-2014 , 02:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
Different Toms have different thoughts on bitcoins and gold?!? I thought you were all broadly similar..
No. One's Jekyll and one's Hyde. It's possible they don't know they are the same person

Last edited by yukoncpa; 01-08-2014 at 02:20 AM.
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11-24-2014 , 12:41 AM
I was just talking to a friend of mine who's getting his masters in social work. He claims we aren't allowed to do studies on the differences in intelligence between races anymore a la Bell Curve, due to something, something PC in academia. It reminded me of this thread. I told him he's most certainly wrong, that he has misunderstood something somewhere, that perhaps there is no public money going toward that type of "controversial" research, much like the politically-driven ban on public funding of stem cell research (has that been revearsed yet??), but that it certainly isn't illegal or anything. I don't really know where to start in order to prove to him he's full of it. Help?
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11-24-2014 , 01:53 AM
Your friend is wrong regarding social scientists, FnD. Part of doing validity tests in psychometric tests is checking to see how people of different ethnicities, gender, etc. perform and how their scores predict outcomes. There is a crap load of money to be had.

He is correct for social workers. Social science : social work :: religious studies : Irish Catholic Priests.
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11-24-2014 , 02:08 AM
We used to have fun on this forum.

F**K the Irish by the way, they are all drunks and I have always hated them and their stinking piss-ant island.

Scientist can study any damn thing they please and the rabble can just go pound sand.

Foldndark*: Just do some smart goggle searches or hit the science library at any good university. You can easily turn up stuff for us to make fun of and critique. Studies, good, bad, or just plain silly are being done everyday and something is out there in the clouds for you to reach out and touch. Don't fondle - just touch. We don't want anyone to get their feelings hurt.

*didn't see BTM's post before posting my tirade, in case that is important to anyone which it shouldn't, but because I've found this new sensitivity and love for all mankind, I feel compelled to assuage any hurt that may have been dealt out.

Last edited by Zeno; 11-24-2014 at 02:15 AM.
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11-24-2014 , 02:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
Your friend is wrong regarding social scientists, FnD. Part of doing validity tests in psychometric tests is checking to see how people of different ethnicities, gender, etc. perform and how their scores predict outcomes. There is a crap load of money to be had.

He is correct for social workers. Social science : social work :: religious studies : Irish Catholic Priests.
I don't get it. Don't they have to take social science courses?

It came up in a conversation about Ferguson where he said he suspects black kids are genetically predisposed to being more aggressive. I told him I seriously doubt that's true, and that any truth to the observation was likely cultural, but that I'm pretty sure we could find out if there is any evidence to support his belief. He then said it's no use, he'd been told in class that genetic studies on racial tendencies of this sort were outlawed after controversial results were found in the 80's, like in The Bell Curve, that if it were found to be true it's too dangerous for society or something.

So here we have a guy one year away from getting his masters degree in social work from St. Louis University, a decent state school, who currently works at a halfway house, who seriously suspects some plain old racist beliefs are true, and that the science would support it if it weren't outlawed. Is he just too busy staring at all the cute girls in his classes, or can they really be teaching this?

Edit: @Zeno, yeah I told him I could produce tons of studies about racial tendencies by just looking them up on the internet and he just sort of hand waved that off as not the same thing or something. We were kinda high, and I told him I'd produce the studies from after the 80's and he is supposed to show me where it's been outlawed, and we left it at that. I think I'll just forward him a few of the citations BTM posted earier ITT and see what he says. Hopefully he'll still invite me to happy hour with his classmates.

Last edited by FoldnDark; 11-24-2014 at 02:34 AM.
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11-24-2014 , 02:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
We used to have fun on this forum.

F**K the Irish by the way, they are all drunks and I have always hated them and their stinking piss-ant island.


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Scientist can study any damn thing they please and the rabble can just go pound sand.
This has been true for at least a score of years, and centuries more if you don't count people being displeased as being prohibitive. When I was studying and got a hair in my ass about something that I thought was worth studying, the worst I was ever told was "finish your damn ****ing dissertation first you dumb ****."

Best. Advisor. Ever.

(I ignored him and went on to making pizzas for a while.)

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*didn't see BTM's post before posting my tirade, in case that is important to anyone which it shouldn't, but because I've found this new sensitivity and love for all mankind, I feel compelled to assuage any hurt that may have been dealt out.
Don't be a pussy.
What Bill Gates is Blind To Quote
11-24-2014 , 02:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FoldnDark
I don't get it. Don't they have to take social science courses?

It came up in a conversation about Ferguson where he said he suspects black kids are genetically predisposed to being more aggressive. I told him I seriously doubt that's true, and that any truth to the observation was likely cultural, but that I'm pretty sure we could find out if there is any evidence to support his belief. He then said it's no use, he'd been told in class that genetic studies on racial tendencies of this sort were outlawed after controversial results were found in the 80's, like in The Bell Curve, that if it were found to be true it's too dangerous for society or something.

So here we have a guy one year away from getting his masters degree in social work from St. Louis University, a decent state school, who currently works at a halfway house, who seriously suspects some plain old racist beliefs are true, and that the science would support it if it weren't outlawed. Is he just too busy staring at all the cute girls in his classes, or can they really be teaching this?

Edit: @Zeno, yeah I told him I could produce tons of studies about racial tendencies by just looking them up on the internet and he just sort of hand waved that off as not the same thing or something. We were kinda high, and I told him I'd produce the studies from after the 80's and he is supposed to show me where it's been outlawed, and we left it at that. I think I'll just forward him a few of the citations BTM posted earier ITT and see what he says. Hopefully he'll still invite me to happy hour with his classmates.
That is a ****load of questions.
What Bill Gates is Blind To Quote
11-28-2014 , 09:57 PM
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Originally Posted by draftdodger
Isn't a rich person who chooses to pay $142,400,000 for Francis Bacon's "Three Studies of Lucian Freud" instead of giving the money to a medical project that prevents illnesses that cause blindness, willfully blinding those he could have helped?
Money is not resources. If I take $142,400,000 in cash and burn it in a bonfire, I have not deprived the world of anything but some ink and paper. Why can't the person who sold "Three Studies of Lucian Freud" use the proceeds to help the blind? Since the painting presumably cannot help prevent blindness, it does not seem to matter whether this exchange happens or not.
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11-28-2014 , 11:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimM
Money is not resources. If I take $142,400,000 in cash and burn it in a bonfire, I have not deprived the world of anything but some ink and paper. Why can't the person who sold "Three Studies of Lucian Freud" use the proceeds to help the blind? Since the painting presumably cannot help prevent blindness, it does not seem to matter whether this exchange happens or not.
x can be traded for y exists.
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11-29-2014 , 12:52 AM
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Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
x can be traded for y exists.
English?
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11-29-2014 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimM
English?
X (money) can be traded for y (food to give to the poor, research into blindness, a painting). Picking one trade over another is picking one trade over another.

No one in the history of this, or any possible universe, has ever suggested that money is the same thing as food or research into blindness or a painting.

(In case I misunderstood your question: No, Irish-American.)
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