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SMP Life is Being Drunk -Random Content thread SMP Life is Being Drunk -Random Content thread

04-30-2016 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Do they still do the Thai food?
Think so, but we instead had an excellent and very reasonably priced meal at Wahaca. (Mexican beer not great, however.)

http://www.wahaca.co.uk/locations/southbank/
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04-30-2016 , 07:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spanktehbadwookie
I'll share the support. My wife is a role model of optimistic cancer patients.

2016 is the year of challenge, complete with dancing breaks and the love revolutions.
Tell I said to stop having cancer because it isn't healthy.

Seriously, hope all goes well and you both die old and happily together.
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04-30-2016 , 08:01 PM
How come I've switched back to Holdem after many years a O8 devotee? Should I be concerned?

Holdem is an extremely dynamic game, understand people play it. Have also to a great part switched to blended whisky from single malts. Am I becoming one of the people?
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05-02-2016 , 04:01 PM
Tottenham will be kicking themselves for not being able to win last week and make this all a real possibility given the not entirely trivially easy final 3 games for Leichester. You have to believe in these things damn it when its still reasonable to be going for it like there is no tomorrow. Now its down to something like roughly 0.9*0.6^2*(2*0.1*0.3+0.1^2)=2.3%

Very depressing to likely end up having the second team have best goal differential, best defense and best offense also possible out of all teams.
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05-02-2016 , 04:21 PM
Getting hairy I'm the pub. Very aggressive drunken conversations about both the game and the referendum.

If I was the sort to get scared I might be scared.
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05-02-2016 , 04:29 PM
His having a go at the Muslims with their mosques now.
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05-02-2016 , 04:43 PM
It appears I am the only spurs fan in the pub
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05-02-2016 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by masque de Z
Tottenham will be kicking themselves for not being able to win last week and make this all a real possibility given the not entirely trivially easy final 3 games for Leichester. You have to believe in these things damn it when its still reasonable to be going for it like there is no tomorrow. Now its down to something like roughly 0.9*0.6^2*(2*0.1*0.3+0.1^2)=2.3%

Very depressing to likely end up having the second team have best goal differential, best defense and best offense also possible out of all teams.
Yeah Tottenham would've made a good PL winner, but IMO I think it's awesome Leicester actually won. I mean, it's like the upset of the century, the odds were 5000:1 which means, if you had betted on both, you'd win more money on Leicester winning the league than if Elvis was found alive. It's amazing and extremely refreshing in a world of soccer where everyone seems to succumb to the need for extremely expensive players and you can basically buy your way to titles (even Barcelona kind of "gave up" trying to stay on top having more or less only players they bred themselves (although they're still miles ahead of many other clubs)).
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05-02-2016 , 11:02 PM
Yeah, the tottering hams were just that. Leicester started at 500/1 (not sure of exact odds) to win the league initially. Their coach is Italian and credit goes to his feeding his team pizza for their awesome defensive effort throughout the season.
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05-02-2016 , 11:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
It appears I am the only spurs fan in the pub
How beat up will you be at the end of the night?
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05-03-2016 , 02:39 AM
The odds obviously varied, but I saw a news report about a dude who'd thrown 3 quid and return was 15003
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05-03-2016 , 03:35 AM
Every real fan of a team that somewhat often buys tickets to see their team is an idiot if they dont always at the start buy at least one ticket's worth amount in proper betting to win championship and similar for the cup where its legal to do that (when it is the most impossible for a low chance team historically before a breakthrough season of abnormal performance).

I mean what on earth is the point to be going to all these games spending money/time if you do not at least believe in a good season at start that can still rally the bet 10-100 times.

Then its up to you to sell it or be smarter than that. If you sell it do it only to diversify with other teams that can defeat them and adjust position with say 70% still there. You never sell it of course if they dont have a substantial run if it simply rallies a couple times in value, you hold on to it and consider it lost money. You are in it for the real thing and diversify only when it has finally become irrational not to do so because it is big time money now. You are not doing this to win change money back, you do it to be there when it happens.
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05-03-2016 , 06:17 AM
I spent three months in HMP Leicester. Anyone would think they'd won the league or something.
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05-03-2016 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
How beat up will you be at the end of the night?
I walked away unscathed. My genuine air of false confidence has served me well over the years.

Not sure what's going on. Last week in the pub someone started going on about the Jews. This week it was Muslims and "how can you be voting to stay in the EU - what about all those Albanians?"
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05-03-2016 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by masque de Z
Every real fan of a team that somewhat often buys tickets to see their team is an idiot if they dont always at the start buy at least one ticket's worth amount in proper betting to win championship and similar for the cup where its legal to do that (when it is the most impossible for a low chance team historically before a breakthrough season of abnormal performance).

I mean what on earth is the point to be going to all these games spending money/time if you do not at least believe in a good season at start that can still rally the bet 10-100 times.

Then its up to you to sell it or be smarter than that. If you sell it do it only to diversify with other teams that can defeat them and adjust position with say 70% still there. You never sell it of course if they dont have a substantial run if it simply rallies a couple times in value, you hold on to it and consider it lost money. You are in it for the real thing and diversify only when it has finally become irrational not to do so because it is big time money now. You are not doing this to win change money back, you do it to be there when it happens.
There's a fine tradition of supporting rubbish clubs as well. I used to know a group of Leyton Orient supporters. Winning anything was very much besides the point.

This old joke reflect the point

A QPR fan walks into a pub with his dog just as the football scores come on the TV. The announcer says that QPR have lost 3-0 and the dog immediately rolls over on its back, sticks its paws in the air and plays dead. "That's amazing," says the barman, "what does he do when they win?" The QPR fan scratches his head for a couple of minutes and finally replies, "I dunno... I've only had the dog for eight months."
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05-03-2016 , 01:37 PM
Yeah but you know what i mean. If a team loses generally you buy the one bet exactly in line with the burning of money the other tickets represent (i mean there is little joy to watch a team lose over and over, unless you know they are trying). Only this one can actually redeem the historical suffering some time...which is well overdue!


I dont know, i am spoiled, my team wins over 55% of the time the championship historically over the past 100 years and some 45-50% the cup too (and recently it has been like 75% of the time or more lol). In that sense there is little point in betting anything as you pay the spreads and never win anything material as volatility is not a big deal. There is no room for any of these bets to ever make any sense for normal teams.
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05-03-2016 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
I walked away unscathed. My genuine air of false confidence has served me well over the years.

Not sure what's going on. Last week in the pub someone started going on about the Jews. This week it was Muslims and "how can you be voting to stay in the EU - what about all those Albanians?"
Just make a general announcement to the pub that you are an Albanian Jew voting to stay in the EU. Just make sure to be packing a .45 Colt, like a true American, before doing so.
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05-03-2016 , 04:00 PM
Met a refuge today at the barber shop. You are thinking - from Syria? Iraq? Afghanistan? No, I mean a real refuge - from Detroit. Nuff said.
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05-03-2016 , 04:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
Just make a general announcement to the pub that you are an Albanian Jew voting to stay in the EU. Just make sure to be packing a .45 Colt, like a true American, before doing so.
Make sure the colt is golden, otherwise it ain't kosher
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05-03-2016 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
Met a refuge today at the barber shop. You are thinking - from Syria? Iraq? Afghanistan? No, I mean a real refuge - from Detroit. Nuff said.
I hope you told him to get the **** back to whatever ****hole he came from




/s
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05-03-2016 , 04:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Viggorous
Make sure the colt is golden, otherwise it ain't kosher

Oh, it's golden alright:


Colt-45-peacemaker
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05-03-2016 , 04:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
Just make a general announcement to the pub that you are an Albanian Jew voting to stay in the EU. Just make sure to be packing a .45 Colt, like a true American, before doing so.
Have to go to a fairly ordinary and way overpriced pub to watch the football.

£5+ for a beer !!! If we could carry guns then no-one would have got out alive. Being english not merican I may have tutted quietly when no-one was looking.
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05-03-2016 , 04:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by masque de Z
Yeah but you know what i mean. If a team loses generally you buy the one bet exactly in line with the burning of money the other tickets represent (i mean there is little joy to watch a team lose over and over, unless you know they are trying). Only this one can actually redeem the historical suffering some time...which is well overdue!


I dont know, i am spoiled, my team wins over 55% of the time the championship historically over the past 100 years and some 45-50% the cup too (and recently it has been like 75% of the time or more lol). In that sense there is little point in betting anything as you pay the spreads and never win anything material as volatility is not a big deal. There is no room for any of these bets to ever make any sense for normal teams.
It's kind of a no win gamble because when the very rare event happens the joy is maximal anyway.

It's like when england won the ashes in 2005 (that's cricket and at times I thought I would never live to see it). I would have had to have bet a fortune to make winning the bet make me any happier. I'm still bubbling with happiness writing about it now.
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05-03-2016 , 04:58 PM
But you put your little money (no more than a ticket anyway out of so many you pay every year if a big supporter - say over 3-4 its only a 25% increase in cost ) where your hope is anyway. If you do not believe in your team to perform a miracle every year then why support it? lol.

If a ticket is $30 equivalent (not sure what it is actually because i never go lol) then a 5000 to 1 bet is 150k today. See it like that. You live as a fan that goes to matches effectively 60 years say (i take 10+10 in the edges etc). You pay 4 matches a year and a bet. Cost 30*5=150$/year or 60*150=$9000 lifetime. There you go now it happens once in your life and you take it all back and then some even with inflation etc given that it can happen any time from 1 to 60 with say 1% chance per year (of course until it happens to establish a history they will all see you as 1 in 1000 or 1 in 5000 chance etc after a few decades of never winning).

Last edited by masque de Z; 05-03-2016 at 05:03 PM.
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05-03-2016 , 05:12 PM
Funny how you never advocated that before, Masque.
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