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Originally Posted by Ryanb9
Each year that goes by and we dont have fusion... does that mean we are less likely to ever get fusion? (or fission, or w/e its called) I mean this is a side tangent, but... is that true? That the longer we spend working on X, the less likely it is that we will ever solve X?
We have done both fission and fusion. Not, as you note, that this is remotely relevant to your original post.
We haven't created a star, yet they seem pretty common in the universe. It took a few minutes to create nachos, yet it is difficult to imagine that there are plates of nachos spontaneously being made by natural processes elsewhere.
If it takes a beaker with the proper ingredients in the proper proportions with the proper temperature and proper energy gradient of one million gallons to have a 50% chance of life emerging from it in a million years, then the few years we have spent using tiny beakers and ****ing around with the other variables is approximately nothing. Even if we do create it, we still won't know the odds that it exists elsewhere without some other information, much like the existence of extraterrestrial nachos.