Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
Today I was at a bookstore that sold both used and new books. It’s a great bookstore with two floors of books plus an attached coffee shop. They had a special sale – you know the ones were they have a rack of books for $1, sometimes less, where they try and move out all the books that just don’t sell. They are great for browsing and by chance gems can be found amongst the gibberish. Today I found some gems, in fact two books that I have wished to read and add to my library for quite awhile.
I purchase three well-used books, all hardbacks - Total price $1.75. What did I pay for each book listed below? Give your price for each and your estimated probability that you are correct.
The Life of Samuel Johnson, by James Boswell, Doubleday and Co. Inc. 1946
Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, Fifth Edition, 1946
Seven Pillar’s of Wisdom, by T.E. Lawrence. Garden City Publishing Co. N.Y. 1938.
This is only a test. If this had been a real emergency you would have been shot.
Tempted by the prospect of an undertitty, I decided to do some research. On Amazon.com, the world-leading seller of used books, I found:
The Life of Samuel Johnson, by James Boswell, Doubleday and Co. Inc. 1946 (Hardcover) - 49 available copies ranging from $75 (collectible) to $.56 (stolen from library)
Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, Fifth Edition, 1946 - one copy (pretty dirty, folded and worn) $20
Seven Pillar’s of Wisdom, by T.E. Lawrence. Garden City Publishing Co. N.Y. 1938. -27 copies with several different formats and editions offered ranging from $9.99 to $24.
With this information in hand, I will deduce the price of the dictionary was $1, Seven Pillar's was $.50, and Sam Johnson was $.25. I estimate the probability of being correct is 100% +\- $1