LOL yes one should hope for all of course surviving assuming they do not suffer living or megatorture those around them (lol again). I bet plaayande estimated the expected is less than 2 and hoped for 2 to improve it as optimistic defeat of the trend that says 117 is some barrier number
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supercentenarian
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...ercentenarians
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centenarian
( i mean look at their ages and you will see what i mean. One would imagine a few making it over 117 but it drops real fast doesnt it?)
4 115s
5 114s
11 113
19 112s
Fast isnt it?
317000 over 100y worldwide estimated around now (2012+).
And 1 in 1000 that make it to 100 it says go over 110. So its like from over 300 at 110 (of the above say) we go to ~1 at 116 or so (the 117 barrier thing, very rapid ). Looks like 1000^(1/10)~2. So you lose a factor 2 every year. That suggests each person that sees 115 has less than 50% chance to see 116. Real bad numbers.
Another projection is; those born today in England (so i guess most of Western world) will have a 33% chance to make it to 100+ (that is remarkable projection wow).
Also over 80% of them women lol. So we are doomed!
Last edited by masque de Z; 04-09-2015 at 06:37 PM.