Quote:
Originally Posted by durkadurka33
OP's mistake is that if the values of people's 'stack' going into final jeopardy are different, then people have to get the answer 'right' regardless. So OP's argument doesn't work.
Stacks of 14000, 10000, and 8000.
Leader should wager 6001. Why do you think that this is irrational?
There is a non zero chance that betting 6001 (as opposed to to 6000) could result in you not winning (you guess wrong, P2 wagers >2k and guesses wrong, P3 wagers 0).
There is ZERO chance betting 6001 could result in you winning when 6000 would make you lose (since no one can reach 20001, the score required for someone to cause you to lose despite guessing correctly with 6000, and clearly wagering 6001 can only be better than 6000 in the cases where you guess correctly)
Wagering 6001 is dominated by wagering 6000, in terms of "chance of winning" (ie ignoring the physical wagering of $1)