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07-03-2015 , 07:41 PM

KingOfFelt

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,886

Question:

If a casino has a bad beat jackpot that is at $275,000 and that jackpot usually does not exceed $300,000 are you any more likely to hit the bad beat once it has reached $275,000 than you would have been when the jackpot was at $100,000? Assume you will play around 200 hands.

$300,000 is not any sort of hard limit, just that it historically has rarely gone over this amount.

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07-03-2015 , 09:31 PM

drowkcableps

grinder

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 633

You would be less likley assuming player traffic increases.

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07-08-2015 , 08:01 AM

David Lyons

old hand

Join Date: May 2003 Posts: 1,459

Quote:

Originally Posted by drowkcableps

You would be less likley assuming player traffic increases.

Interesting. I'm not so sure it is that cut and dried.

When I was in New Jersey a couple of years ago the Borgata (IIRC) Jackpot had hit some astronomical number.

The tables were filled all day, however the players were generally playing any two paired cards and any two SF possibilities super passively (effectively implicitly colluding with the rest of the players at the table).

This meant that your odds of hitting it per hand were increased. It's just that the chance you would do it first was reduced by the large number of competing tables.

I wonder does one of these deltas outweigh the other?

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07-08-2015 , 08:05 AM

bahbahmickey

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 15,277

Quote:

Originally Posted by KingOfFelt

No, not unless you and/or others are playing differently because of the bbj.

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