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08-21-2017 , 07:47 PM

#24451

mutigers

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 37,175

i hope it is 128 or something but i think loma has ~all the leverage and will make him fight at 130

Quote

08-21-2017 , 07:49 PM

#24452

rtspurs

Stats Amore

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 20,684

Not signed yet but all reports say 130lbs

Quote

08-22-2017 , 08:48 AM

#24453

Hoopie1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 26,076

Y'all be careful that you don't get burnt reading this scorching take from Amir Khan on Mayweather vs. McGregor.

Quote

08-22-2017 , 06:52 PM

#24454

x_ROSH125_x

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 6,071

Khan tarkin rubbish as usual, what's new

Quote

08-23-2017 , 05:34 AM

#24455

Consty

resident wizard

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 10,134

Quote

08-23-2017 , 05:50 AM

#24456

pontylad

banned

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 8,714

These Mayweather odds are insanely good value. I remember putting a lot of money on Froch vs Robin Reid back in the day think -1000 on Froch was pretty much a steal. I think it's time to bet the car.

Quote

08-23-2017 , 05:57 AM

#24457

00Snitch

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 20,865

I'm on Mayweather at $1.27.

I really want to get on Mayweather by decision at $3.75. I want to believe McGregor can last on size\strength\youth\pride, but I can't shake the feeling that McGregor just shuts up shop in frustration after a few rounds of of bouncing punches off floyd's shoulders...

Quote

08-23-2017 , 06:49 AM

#24458

Hoopie1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 26,076

Robin Reid - there's a name that I haven't heard in a while.

Quote

08-23-2017 , 07:22 AM

#24459

Ra_Z_Boy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 36,966

Quote:

Originally Posted by Consty

ROFL. Raging I didn't go with them but never best odds.

Quote

08-23-2017 , 07:29 AM

#24460

BOIDS

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 13,798

shows how little money ppl have been putting on may. at least with pp

Quote

08-23-2017 , 07:41 AM

#24461

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,803

Quote:

Originally Posted by Consty

https://news.paddypower.com/propagan...08/23/payouts/

Quote

08-23-2017 , 07:48 AM

#24462

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,803

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

shows how little money ppl have been putting on may. at least with pp

According to them, they are paying out £250,000 ($320,000), meaning that over £1 million ($1.3 million) has been bet on Mayweather.

They are "predicting more than £200 million ($256 million) in bets - with most of the money expected to come in the 36 hours before the bout. It is more than three times the size of the next biggest boxing market, when Mayweather fought Manny Pacquiao in 2015, and by far the Paddy Power’s biggest event of the year."

https://news.paddypower.com/boxing/2...ather-victory/

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08-23-2017 , 10:37 AM

#24463

x_ROSH125_x

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 6,071

Betfair exchange> PP

Quote

08-23-2017 , 10:41 AM

#24464

JudgeHoldem

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 8,197

it'll be interesting to see how this weekend's fight influences GGG-Canelo, which I'm sure everyone agrees is a much better fight.

It's like boxing in the age of a Donald Trump presidency.

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08-23-2017 , 10:42 AM

#24465

JudgeHoldem

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 8,197

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichGangi

Now at Bookmaker:

CM +369
FM -499

This is truly insane.

I got -450 the other day on bet dsi

Last edited by JudgeHoldem; 08-23-2017 at 10:59 AM.

Quote

08-23-2017 , 10:49 AM

#24466

SuperUberBob

Not interesting enough

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48,217

Cotto-Kamegai will be better than Floyd-CM

Sent from my HUAWEI CUN-L01 using Tapatalk

Quote

08-23-2017 , 11:29 AM

#24467

Consty

resident wizard

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 10,134

Signs now that Mayweather's starting to be backed. Some chunky stakes on him the last 24 hours on the exchange.

Quote

08-23-2017 , 11:46 AM

#24468

rtspurs

Stats Amore

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 20,684

Quote:

Originally Posted by x_ROSH125_x

Betfair exchange> PP

Yes, but don't forget they take a commission from your profit.

1.27 is really 1.2565 in my country (Ireland is 5%) and could be different depending on your country afaik

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08-23-2017 , 03:07 PM

#24469

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,803

There is speculation that PP just lays off on BF, so the £250k ($320k) that they say they paid out on Mayweather is really more like a £50k ($64k) advertising/promotional expense, which could well be worth the publicity. (And most of the money will just be given back to them on future bets vs people cashing out anyway.)

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08-24-2017 , 03:45 AM

#24470

00Snitch

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 20,865

I'm a massive sports betting fish, but what would PP be doing to hedge the ~200M or whatever that has been dropped on McGregor. I presume they can't actually afford to pay out 700M+?

Do they insure it? Do they lay it off at other bookies (I can't imagine that actually happening)?

Quote

08-24-2017 , 05:32 AM

#24471

Yeti

Abominable

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 23,208

i'm not really buying this 'the books are getting buried if conor wins' narrative. most of the lenders i'm watching have shortened on floyd and lengthened on conor in the past 3-4 days.

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08-24-2017 , 05:46 AM

#24472

00Snitch

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 20,865

But if we are to take PP as an example, and we are to believe the numbers they put out in the media, the payout for McGregor winning would be multiples (maybe 4-5x?) of their yearly profit. Surely they're not going to take that risk?

Quote

08-24-2017 , 09:43 AM

#24473

rtspurs

Stats Amore

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 20,684

Its commonplace for bookies to hedge their bets on anything significant

Paddy Power will do well from a big event like this regardless as they are getting new customers

Quote

08-24-2017 , 09:51 AM

#24474

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,803

The quote wasn't £200 million on McGregor, it was them predicting that there wil be £200 million in total bet on the match. That would mean ~£160 million bet on Mayweather and ~£40 million bet on McGregor if it were a balanced book.

Prior to this week, it was not a balanced book, and the books had liability if McGregor won. That has been changing, as money has been coming in on Mayweather recently, as Yeti and Consty have referred to. By fight night, the books may not have much liability remaining on McGregor, if any.