NCAAF Week 6 rankings and discussion - Page 2 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

Just to be clear, I don't actually see much difference in the top 10 or 11. But not 12--ND doesn't belong, fo' sho'. I mean, they've all got warts and times they've looked like they don't belong at all. Maybe the topward ones are showing more consistency lately or something, but any of them seem like they could take an Ugla turn (see what I did there?) at any time. Meat Chicken's wart==sucking for so many years, and that seems the least relevant wart at this time.

1 Michigan (5) Don't like it? Neither do I. 3 straight shutouts and defense allowing 1 score over their last five games. Oregon State, UNLV, BYU, Maryland, Northwestern. Not exactly murderers' row, but that's a different sport anyway and it's not like they've been playing FCS teams.

2 Alabama (1) Wart==Nuke Laloosh at qb, defense vulnerable to big plays
3 Baylor (2) Wart==have not met a defense yet
4 Clemson (6) Wart==mediocre to bad play vs. Louisville & needed turnover luck to beat ND at home.
5 LSU (8) Wart==tight games as huge favorites, no qb.
6 Ole Miss (10) Wart==getting blown away at Florida
7 Utah (4) Wart==statistics. Just like the poll, I put them 7th. In my case, it means if you give them 7 turnovers, they will beat you.

8 Ohio State (7) Wart==everything?
9 Stanford (12) Wart==Shaw, losing to NW
10 TCU (11) Wart==the shootout pattern, specifically against weaker teams
11 Florida (17) Wart==slow start to the season, sucking for years
12 Notre Dame (14)
13 Oklahoma (9)
14 Texas A&M (18)
15 UCLA (16)
16 Florida State (15)
17 Georgia (13)
18 Boise State (22)
19 Cal (19)
20 Oklahoma State (23)
21 West Virginia (20)
22 Iowa (24)
23 Washington (U)
24 USC (3) Oops
25 Mississippi State (25)

Can't put Michigan 1 with Utah 7. Can't do it. Or Ole Miss jumping after beating a hapless opponent a week after looking like a Florida sorority sister.

TCU 11th? Bit of an overreaction to a road comeback win in conference. These rankings are pure AIDS

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10-11-2015 , 07:28 PM

#28

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

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Sark taking a leave of absence

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10-11-2015 , 07:39 PM

#29

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Where are the ASUndevils at when they beat the Utes?

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofball

Sark taking a leave of absence

Surely just an honest mistake when prescription meds interfere with grey goose, good guess is that his doctor failed to warn him about the side effects of mixing the meds with harmless alcohol.

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10-11-2015 , 07:49 PM

#30

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holliday

erroneous top 25

Wtf man?!

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10-11-2015 , 08:00 PM

#31

younguns87

POG gonan POG

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 60,870

So if Florida beats LSU it has to be 1. Florida right?

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10-11-2015 , 08:16 PM

#32

PocketChads

guaranteed 42-10 finish

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It already has to be 1. Florida

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10-11-2015 , 08:17 PM

#33

AngerPush

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Quote:

Originally Posted by goofball

Ranking of win probabilities in the upcoming Washington-Oregon game:

1. Oregon, 60%
2. Washington 40%

Pinny has Washington -1
Michigan -6.5 MSU
LSU -6 UF
Alabama -4.5 @ aTm

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10-11-2015 , 08:21 PM

#34

AUGUY55

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Quote:

Originally Posted by goofball

Sark taking a leave of absence

Why didn't this happen after his drunken booster event appearance?

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10-11-2015 , 08:27 PM

#35

PocketChads

guaranteed 42-10 finish

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 22,449

Quote:

Originally Posted by AUGUY55

Why didn't this happen after his drunken booster event appearance?

This is a big psychological question. It's about the difference in human reaction to headlines vs being with someone daily or close to it before the same event happens.

No value judgment on either, just pointing out the difference. It's pretty universal. Constantly happening as we speak.

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10-11-2015 , 08:33 PM

#36

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 20,424

Quote:

Originally Posted by AngerPush

Pinny has Washington -1

Michigan -6.5 MSU

LSU -6 UF

Alabama -4.5 @ aTm

Wow at the Washington Oregon line.

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10-11-2015 , 09:14 PM

#37

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 20,424

I have a lot of thoughts about this week's lines / my model / these rankings. But there's a lot going on in my house (people in town etc.), so I'll just put this up without comment and return for more discussion later.

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10-11-2015 , 09:19 PM

#38

Holliday

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ohsnapzbrah

Can do it. Did it. Utah just received 7 turnovers and a luckily missed late figgie en route to surviving a home game by 25 yards plus watched their Oregon cap-feather lose again.

Ole Miss is helped by Florida easily covering in a road game and their rise is more about others sinking.

TCU is 10th. They were 11th last week and much lower the week before when they needed a lucky bounce on 4th & goal to beat Texas Tech.

It's just my opinion.

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10-11-2015 , 09:27 PM

#39

grimmstar

temp-banned

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 1,846

I'm almost positive Michigan is better than Utah. Florida ~ Utah I think.

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10-11-2015 , 09:33 PM

#40

pwnsall

CFBBPC

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 65,630

could survive a loss and great chance to get in

lsu
baylor
tcu
utah
tosu?

same but not quite as good
aggies
florida

control own destiny but loss makes things more unlikely (but possible)
michigan state
alabama
ole miss
clemson
fsu
iowa
oklahoma state

win out and maybe need help, a loss is doom
michigan
stanford
ucla
oklahoma
notre dame
cal

win out and need a lot of help
toledo
houston
northwestern

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10-11-2015 , 09:38 PM

#41

PocketChads

guaranteed 42-10 finish

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 22,449

Utah could easily get double digits vs Florida

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10-11-2015 , 09:47 PM

#42

chuckleslovakian

LYNCH DURRON597

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 35,895

UK is at least in the "win out and maybe need help, a loss is doom" category. But lol at UK winning out.

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10-11-2015 , 09:52 PM

#43

younguns87

POG gonan POG

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 60,870

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofball

11. Georgia
25. Auburn

El oh el

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10-11-2015 , 09:56 PM

#44

ikestoys

banned

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 94,424

michigan definitely controls their own destiny with winning out. Need category of win out good, loss is doom

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10-11-2015 , 10:04 PM

#45

schu_22

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I think Michigan controls their own destiny at this point.

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10-11-2015 , 10:05 PM

#46

schu_22

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Also, a loss would doom Iowa because they have nobody at all left on their schedule. So probably lump them in with ikes' proposed category with Michigan.

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10-11-2015 , 10:08 PM

#47

pwnsall

CFBBPC

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 65,630

yeah but i got lazy with categories

also didn't include everyone obviously (such as the wildcats)

good calls on iowa and michigan

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10-11-2015 , 10:09 PM

#48

PocketChads

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Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 22,449

Michigan gets in if their 1 loss comes before the big lame

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10-11-2015 , 10:11 PM

#49

Holliday

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Not impressed with Temple's shellacking of Tulane, eh?

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10-11-2015 , 10:14 PM

#50

pwnsall

CFBBPC

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 65,630

actually everyone in the maybe needs help category would mostly get in, the biggest distinguish was a loss dooming them and not the category above them

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