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Old 02-06-2012, 10:39 PM   #2716
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

yall are haters, Murray State is legit
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:09 PM   #2717
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

2 seed seems about right

probably 7th overall in seeding rank
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:09 PM   #2718
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

in b4 lolaggies

Last edited by brendoh; 02-06-2012 at 11:11 PM. Reason: lolaggies, great d
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:10 PM   #2719
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by jayhawks View Post
I'm pretty down on KU this year. Is the unbiased opinion that they are deserving of 2 seed? I don't see it.
To say they aren't, you need to find 8 teams more deserving of a 1 and 2.
They lost to Duke, Davidson, @ISU, @Missouri, and Kentucky. Big wins against Ohio State (w/o Sully), and Baylor. That's 3 of their 5 against solid teams, 1 badish loss, and 1 mediocre loss. Who are you going to have in front of them? Florida?
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:12 PM   #2720
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

looooooooooooooolaggies great play loubeau

KU seems like a pretty clear 2 seed imo.
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:25 PM   #2721
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

I was really down on this KU team in preseason but they've looked good every time I've seen them and Thomas Robinson has to be the favorite for NPOY as of right now.
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Old 02-06-2012, 11:50 PM   #2722
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Originally Posted by CalledDownLight View Post
I wish there was a conceivable way for murray state to get a 1. I would just pick them to make the title game and be a lock to win every pool if they did so.
Can't you do that anyway?
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Old 02-07-2012, 01:44 AM   #2723
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Free money special tomorrow: Maryland +8 @ Clemson. I am 4-0 in betting on MD this year if it makes you feel any better... The odds makers hate MD... not sure why. (They are a better team then Clemson, look up there schedules, true line should be Clemson -2.5 or so Id say)

edit: they are 5-2 ATS in ACC play and in there two losses they were double digit dogs, but were winning the game in the second half and didnt cover by 2 and 2.5 points.

Last edited by charder30; 02-07-2012 at 02:01 AM.
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Old 02-07-2012, 02:06 AM   #2724
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
curious how duke loses at home to an unranked opponent but move up in the AP poll. i'm guessing the AP votes are submitted on Saturday?
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins View Post
You must be looking at a different poll than me, they dropped from 7 to 10. Kansas, Murray State, Florida, jumped them. Kansas even lost a game.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar View Post
you right. ESPN had a link about UK staying #1 on the home page so i went to the AP poll and they still had last weeks poll up. Lunardi will still have them a #1 seed though i bet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins View Post
He doesn't. He has them as a 3. Which is reasonable.

His 1s are:
Missouri, Ohio State, Syracuse, Kentucky. Tough to argue much there.
2s- MSU, Baylor UNC, Kansas
3s- Duke, Georgetown, Florida, UNLV

UNLV and GT overrated.
Well this was quite an exchange.
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Old 02-07-2012, 03:46 AM   #2725
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

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Originally Posted by charder30 View Post
yall are haters, Murray State is legit
Based on what? And define legit.

If you mean a tournament team that could win a game or two in the tourney with the right matchups and hot shooting, then ok sure they're legit. But that is pretty much every top 70 kenpom team imo. Theyre 23-0, but 3 of those wins are vs teams that arent even Div 1 A, so we'll make that 20-0. Of those 20 wins, 15 were vs teams without a winning record, or in other words 18 of those "23" wins were vs teams with a losing/500 record or not div 1.

Btw here are those 5 teams with winning records they beat:
neutral San Francisco by 3 points
neutral Souther miss by 9 points
vs Dayton by 17 points
@ Memphis by 4 points
vs Tenn Tech by 8 points

Ive seen 2 or 3 of their games in their entirety, which is a smallolsamplesize but nothing substantial stood out eye test wise that makes me think their #s are off. They dont have any 1st rd NBA prospects. The only real argument in their favor of being an actual top 15 team is if we act like margin of victory doesnt matter, and I think most everyone here agrees that its better to use MOV than completely remove it from the equation.



murray state national rankings below

65 in kenpom overall ranking
63 Off Adj Eff at 107.7
83 Def Adj Eff at 95.3

46 in Sagarin Rating
60 in Sagarin Predictor
4 in Sagarin ELOCHESS (no Margin of Victory component)

43 LRMC (Bayesian)
10 LRMC (no Margin of Victory component)

39 RPI


Even if this team ends up finishing unbeaten in the reg season and wins their conf tournament they have no business being seeded on the 1, 2, 3, or 4 lines unless they just start destroying teams in the games they have left. And realistically, they should be thrilled with a 5 or 6 seed bc thats really generous.


All this said, it still wont be some crazy shock if a team that has as many guys shoot the 3 at a high percentage like Murray State gets hot and luckboxes into the Sw16 (definitely the right strategy for a smaller not elite talent school), but there is no way this team is a favorite to make it to the second weekend.
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Old 02-07-2012, 04:12 AM   #2726
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Quote:
Based on what? And define legit.
Based on what? lol, they are undefeated, they beat some legit teams (Southern Miss, Memphis etc, and neither were at home)

Quote:
If you mean a tournament team that could win a game or two in the tourney with the right matchups and hot shooting, then ok sure they're legit. But that is pretty much every top 70 kenpom team imo. Theyre 23-0, but 3 of those wins are vs teams that arent even Div 1 A, so we'll make that 20-0. Of those 20 wins, 15 were vs teams without a winning record, or in other words 18 of those "23" wins were vs teams with a losing/500 record or not div 1.

Btw here are those 5 teams with winning records they beat:
neutral San Francisco by 3 points
neutral Souther miss by 9 points
vs Dayton by 17 points
@ Memphis by 4 points
vs Tenn Tech by 8 points
fail.gif
They have 8 wins over teams over .500 and Yes they could easily make the sweet 16

Quote:
Ive seen 2 or 3 of their games in their entirety, which is a smallolsamplesize but nothing substantial stood out eye test wise that makes me think their #s are off. They dont have any 1st rd NBA prospects.
Super cool story bro

Quote:
The only real argument in their favor of being an actual top 15 team is if we act like margin of victory doesnt matter, and I think most everyone here agrees that its better to use MOV than completely remove it from the equation.
Its hard to crush teams on the road in conference regardless, it happens every year. They beat the 2 best teams in Conf USA.

Quote:
murray state national rankings below

65 in kenpom overall ranking
63 Off Adj Eff at 107.7
83 Def Adj Eff at 95.3

46 in Sagarin Rating
60 in Sagarin Predictor
4 in Sagarin ELOCHESS (no Margin of Victory component)

43 LRMC (Bayesian)
10 LRMC (no Margin of Victory component)

39 RPI


Even if this team ends up finishing unbeaten in the reg season and wins their conf tournament they have no business being seeded on the 1, 2, 3, or 4 lines unless they just start destroying teams in the games they have left. And realistically, they should be thrilled with a 5 or 6 seed bc thats really generous.
They will end up with a 3 Im guessing if they go undefeated but that will entail beating a really good St. Mary's team in BB. I think there profile would justify that

Quote:
All this said, it still wont be some crazy shock if a team that has as many guys shoot the 3 at a high percentage like Murray State gets hot and luckboxes into the Sw16 (definitely the right strategy for a smaller not elite talent school), but there is no way this team is a favorite to make it to the second weekend
No I dont think they are favorite, but they could easily do it and no one would be surprised.
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Old 02-07-2012, 04:21 AM   #2727
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Quote:
Originally Posted by charder30 View Post
fail.gif
They have 8 wins over teams over .500 and Yes they could easily make the sweet 16

Super cool story bro
Check your facts bro since u like using bro u might as well at least try and be right bro if youre gonna act like a douche

20 D 1 wins listed below.
Morgan State 5-16
UAB 9-13
San Fran 13-10
South misss 18-3
WesT Ky 8-15
Dayton 14-9
Memphis 16-7
Lipscomb 10-13
Ark St 9-15
Tenn Martin 1-22
East ill 7-14
East Ky 12-12
Aust Peay 8-17
Jax State 8-15
Tenn Tech 14-9
Moorehead State 10-12
SIU Edwardsville 5-14
East Ill 7-14
SE Mizz St 10-11
Tenn Martin 1-22

http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...e/Murray-State
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Old 02-07-2012, 04:27 AM   #2728
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

oh man
#notagoodlook

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-bask...state-redhawks

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-bask...d-state-eagles

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-bask...tucky-colonels
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Old 02-07-2012, 04:29 AM   #2729
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

Again, those are teams that played non D-1 schools and those wins dont count for them to get over 500 either.

#notagoodlook and take a peak why onthe espn home page tab you dont have a link to every team on their schedules

#csb
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Old 02-07-2012, 04:32 AM   #2730
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Re: NCAA Basketball 2011-2012 Season

lol those games still happened and you just said "Btw here are those 5 teams with winning records they beat" but whatever I dont really care anyways.
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