Quote:
Originally Posted by Seadood228
I really like Roco and think a lot of his poor shooting is because he takes so many contested shots, but I would be very worried at offering him a long-term deal for big money. Either way I think you can pencil him in as a positive player, a near elite defender who in the past has shot well... Maybe like a poor man's Danny Green?
I'd rather give him a short deal for massive money if that's what it took to keep him.
I looked into this false narrative a few months back. He's taking a larger % of open shots than last year (and almost an identical percentage of wide open shots to two seasons ago when he shot 37.4%).
The actual reason is that 3 point shooting is extremely high variance and can fluctuate significantly year to year.
It's ironic you brought up Danny Green because his last season is pretty solid evidence when he shot 33.2% (7.2% worse than his career average). I'm guessing a lot of people tried to generate plenty of narratives then as well but sure enough, he's back up to 40.5% this year.
Covington is shooting 2.7% worse than his career average this season - an extremely normal fluctuation.